Does Gibrat's Law hold among young, small firms?

被引:145
作者
Lotti, F
Santarelli, E
Vivarelli, M
机构
[1] Bank Italy, Res Dept, I-00184 Rome, Italy
[2] Univ Bologna, Dept Econ, I-40125 Bologna, Italy
[3] Catholic Univ Piacenza, Dept Econ & Social Sci, I-29100 Piacenza, Italy
[4] Int Labor Org, Geneva, Switzerland
[5] IZA, Bonn, Germany
关键词
industrial dynamics; young firms; small firms; Gibrat's Law; quantile regression;
D O I
10.1007/s00191-003-0153-0
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
According to Gibrat's Law of Proportionate Effect, the growth rate of a given firm is independent of its size at the beginning of the examined period. Aimed at extending this line of investigation, the present paper uses quantile regression techniques to test whether Gibrat's Law holds for new entrants in a given industry: that is for new small firms in the early stage of their life cycle. The main finding is that for some selected industries in Italian manufacturing Gibrat's Law fails to hold in the years immediately following start-up, when smaller firms have to rush in order to achieve a size large enough to enhance their likelihood of survival. Conversely, in subsequent years the patterns of growth of new smaller firms do not differ significantly from those of larger entrants, and the Law therefore cannot be rejected.
引用
收藏
页码:213 / 235
页数:23
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