Prediction methods and applications in the science of science: A survey

被引:24
作者
Hou, Jie [1 ]
Pan, Hanxiao [1 ]
Guo, Teng [1 ]
Lee, Ivan [2 ]
Kong, Xiangjie [1 ]
Xia, Feng [1 ]
机构
[1] Dalian Univ Technol, Sch Software, Key Lab Ubiquitous Network & Serv Software Liaoni, Dalian, Peoples R China
[2] Univ South Australia, Sch ITMS, Mawson Lakes, SA 5095, Australia
关键词
Prediction methods; Data analysis; Scholarly data; Science of science; LINK-PREDICTION; CITATION DISTRIBUTIONS; RISING STARS; CO-AUTHOR; IMPACT; UNIVERSALITY; EVOLUTION; INDIVIDUALS; STATISTICS; NETWORKS;
D O I
10.1016/j.cosrev.2019.100197
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
Science of science has become a popular topic that attracts great attentions from the research community. The development of data analytics technologies and the readily available scholarly data enable the exploration of data-driven prediction, which plays a pivotal role in finding the trend of scientific impact. In this paper, we analyse methods and applications in data-driven prediction in the science of science, and discuss their significance. First, we introduce the background and review the current state of the science of science. Second, we review data-driven prediction based on paper citation count, and investigate research issues in this area. Then, we discuss methods to predict scholar impact, and we analyse different approaches to promote the scholarly collaboration in the collaboration network. This paper also discusses open issues and existing challenges, and suggests potential research directions. (C) 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页数:12
相关论文
共 112 条
[11]   An overview on evaluating and predicting scholarly article impact [J].
Bai X. ;
Liu H. ;
Zhang F. ;
Ning Z. ;
Kong X. ;
Lee I. ;
Xia F. .
Information (Switzerland), 2017, 8 (03)
[12]   The Role of Positive and Negative Citationsin Scientific Evaluation [J].
Bai, Xiaomei ;
Lee, Ivan ;
Ning, Zhaolong ;
Tolba, Amr ;
Xia, Feng .
IEEE ACCESS, 2017, 5 :17607-17617
[13]  
Bennett L.M., J INVEST MED, V60
[14]  
Bernal J.D., 1939, SOCIAL FUNCTION SCI
[15]  
Bhat H.S., 2016, IEEE INT C DAT MIN W, P589
[16]   Design and Update of a Classification System: The UCSD Map of Science [J].
Boerner, Katy ;
Klavans, Richard ;
Patek, Michael ;
Zoss, Angela M. ;
Biberstine, Joseph R. ;
Light, Robert P. ;
Lariviere, Vincent ;
Boyack, Kevin W. .
PLOS ONE, 2012, 7 (07)
[17]   Skewness of citation impact data and covariates of citation distributions: A large-scale empirical analysis based on Web of Science data [J].
Bornmann, Lutz ;
Leydesdorff, Loet .
JOURNAL OF INFORMETRICS, 2017, 11 (01) :164-175
[18]   How to improve the prediction based on citation impact percentiles for years shortly after the publication date? [J].
Bornmann, Lutz ;
Leydesdorff, Loet ;
Wang, Jian .
JOURNAL OF INFORMETRICS, 2014, 8 (01) :175-180
[19]   A bibliometric index based on the collaboration distance between cited and citing authors [J].
Bras-Amoros, Maria ;
Domingo-Ferrer, Josep ;
Torra, Vicenc .
JOURNAL OF INFORMETRICS, 2011, 5 (02) :248-264
[20]   Earlier web usage statistics as predictors of later citation impact [J].
Brody, Tim ;
Harnad, Stevan ;
Carr, Leslie .
JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN SOCIETY FOR INFORMATION SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY, 2006, 57 (08) :1060-1072