Regional climate and patterns of phytoplankton annual succession in the Cheekier open waters of the Black Sea

The annual succession of phytoplankton of the open waters of the Black Sea was investigated on the basis of a database covering the 30-year period from 1985 to 2014. Seasonal variations of the taxonomic composition were analysed with regard to weather conditions and the physical and chemical properties of the environment. Two different patterns of annual phytoplankton succession were revealed for the post-winter period from March to November. After cold winters a classical annual succession of diatoms -> dinoflagellates -> coccolithophores -> dinoflagellates -> diatoms was observed, whereas after regular winters another type of succession; dinoflagellates -> dinoflagellates -> coccolithophores -> diatoms -> diatoms, took place. These two successions corresponded to seasonal dynamics of nitrate concentration and its share in the total inorganic nitrogen. During cold years these parameters decreased from spring to summer with a subsequent increase in autumn, whereas in regular years they were unusually high in summer. The enigma of this summer nitrate enrichment is well explained by the hypothesis of increasing cross-shelf nutrient transport. During regular years, weak hydrodynamic forcing occurs throughout the year, resulting in a large number of mesoscale eddies along the shelf in summer-autumn that in turn cause the intense transport of coastal waters rich in nitrate to the Sea interior. Development of the large-celled diatom Pseudosolenia calcar-avis in the sea basin observed in summer is in line with this hypothesis. This mechanism was also confirmed by positive relationships between the high sea-surface temperature, and the low Ekman pumping velocity and mean kinetic energy of currents in winter on the one hand, and the contribution of diatoms to the total phytoplankton biomass in summer-autumn, on the other. A case study of mesoscale eddies in the open waters in summer-autumn demonstrated a shift in species composition to large-celled diatoms inside these structures. Climate warming observed during the last 25 years resulted in a decrease in the frequency of cold winters from 30% to 15%, which has led to a decline in the annual phytoplankton standing stock. Thus, in the Black Sea, climate warming affects phytoplankton not directly by an increase in temperature, but by a decrease in the frequency of cold winters.