Oil production prediction with neural network method

Many kinds of method can be used to predict oil production, and the neural network method is one of the most basic methods to predict oil production. In this study a modified neural network method is proposed to predict oil production in oil field. A fuzzy cluster analysis is introduced to determine the major influencing factors and obtain non-dimensional data; a proper kernel function of the neural network structure is chosen to establish the relational expression of site variables and fit the relational expression of weight. A new predicting method based on the cluster analysis is proposed to predict the oil production. Good predicting results are obtained by introducing this new method to the Cong-D block of certain block faulted oilfield of China.