Risk management of extreme events under climate change

被引:43
作者
Yuan, Xiao-Chen [1 ,2 ]
Wei, Yi-Ming [2 ,3 ]
Wang, Bing [2 ,4 ]
Mi, Zhifu [2 ,5 ]
机构
[1] Univ Sci & Technol Beijing, Donlinks Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
[2] Beijing Inst Technol, Ctr Energy & Environm Policy Res, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China
[3] Beijing Inst Technol, Sch Management & Econ, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China
[4] China Univ Min & Technol Beijing, Sch Resources & Safety Engn, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
[5] Univ East Anglia, Sch Int Dev, Tyndall Ctr Climate Change Res, Norwich NR4 7TJ, Norfolk, England
基金
中国博士后科学基金; 中国国家自然科学基金; 国家重点研发计划;
关键词
Climate change; Extreme events; Risk management; Adaptation; Uncertainty; FLOOD FREQUENCY-ANALYSIS; DECISION-SUPPORT-SYSTEM; PEAKS-OVER-THRESHOLD; SEA-LEVEL RISE; SOCIAL VULNERABILITY; ADAPTATION STRATEGIES; INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT; AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT; ADAPTIVE CAPACITY; COASTAL HAZARDS;
D O I
10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.07.209
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Risk management is an effective way to mitigate the adverse consequences of extreme events, and plays an important role in climate change adaptation. On the basis of the literature, this paper presents a conceptual framework for managing the risk of extreme events under climate change, and accordingly summarizes the recent developments with a focus on several key topics. In terms of risk determinants, the impacts of climate variability on the frequency of extreme events are addressed, and the various meanings and measurements of specific vulnerability are compared. As for the process of risk management, the dynamic assessment approach regarding future climate condition is emphasized. Besides, in view of decision making the available means to enhance the effectiveness of adaptation and mitigation strategies are highlighted. Finally, uncertainty is discussed with respect to its sources and solution. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1169 / 1174
页数:6
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