Comparison of Machine Learning Methods towards Developing Interpretable Polyamide Property Prediction

Polyamides are often used for their superior thermal, mechanical, and chemical properties. They form a diverse set of materials that have a large variation in properties between linear to aromatic compounds, which renders the traditional quantitative structure-property relationship (QSPR) challenging. We use extended connectivity fingerprints (ECFP) and traditional QSPR fingerprints to develop machine learning models to perform high fidelity prediction of glass transition temperature (Tg), melting temperature (Tm), density (rho), and tensile modulus (E). The non-linear model using random forest is in general found to be more accurate than linear regression; however, using feature selection or regularization, the accuracy of linear models is shown to be improved significantly to become comparable to the more complex nonlinear algorithm. We find that none of the models or fingerprints were able to accurately predict the tensile modulus E, which we hypothesize is due to heterogeneity in data and data sources, as well as inherent challenges in measuring it. Finally, QSPR models revealed that the fraction of rotatable bonds, and the rotational degree of freedom affects polyamide properties most profoundly and can be used for back of the envelope calculations for a quick estimate of the polymer attributes (glass transition temperature, melting temperature, and density). These QSPR models, although having slightly lower prediction accuracy, show the most promise for the polymer chemist seeking to develop an intuition of ways to modify the chemistry to enhance specific attributes.