Effects of Spot Market Short-Sale Constraints on Index Futures Trading

被引:7
作者
Fabozzi, Frank J. [1 ]
Karagozoglu, Ahmet K. [2 ]
Wang, Na [2 ]
机构
[1] EDHEC Business Sch, Roubaix, France
[2] Hofstra Univ, Hempstead, NY 11550 USA
关键词
VOLATILITY-VOLUME RELATION; HETEROGENEOUS EXPECTATIONS; PRICE VOLATILITY; OPTION MARKETS; INFORMATION; EFFICIENCY; RETURNS; OPINION; HETEROSKEDASTICITY; RESTRICTIONS;
D O I
10.1093/rof/rfw020
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We analyze the effects of spot market short-sale constraints on derivatives trading using a unique Chinese stock market futures trading database. Due to short-sale constraints, investors' pessimistic views on the underlying index can be expressed solely through short futures positions, while investors' optimistic views are dispersed through their spot and futures trading. We hypothesize that trading of pessimistic investors (with net short futures positions) contains more information than that of optimistic investors. We document the negative volatility-volume relation is associated with pessimistic investors' trading, which attenuates with less-restricted spot market short-sale rules. Large pessimistic investors' net demand can predict future returns, but not the case for optimistic investors.
引用
收藏
页码:1975 / 2005
页数:31
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