Review on Spatio-Temporal Solar Forecasting Methods Driven by In Situ Measurements or Their Combination with Satellite and Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) Estimates

被引:18
作者
Benavides Cesar, Llinet [1 ]
Amaro e Silva, Rodrigo [2 ]
Manso Callejo, Miguel Angel [1 ]
Cira, Calimanut-Ionut [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Politecn Madrid, Escuela Tecn Super Ingenieros Topog Geodesia & Ca, Dept Ingn Topog & Cartog, Campus Sur,A-3,Km 7, Madrid 28031, Spain
[2] PSL Res Univ, MINES ParisTech, OIE Ctr Observat, Impacts,Energy, F-06904 Paris, France
关键词
solar forecasting; spatio-temporal; in situ measurements; review; statistical methods; physical methods; machine learning methods; deep learning methods; hybrid methods; ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORK; POWER PRODUCTION; ADVECTION MODEL; CLOUD MOTION; SKY-IMAGER; IRRADIANCE; VERIFICATION; PERFORMANCE; GENERATION; RESOLUTION;
D O I
10.3390/en15124341
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
To better forecast solar variability, spatio-temporal methods exploit spatially distributed solar time series, seeking to improve forecasting accuracy by including neighboring solar information. This review work is, to the authors' understanding, the first to offer a compendium of references published since 2011 on such approaches for global horizontal irradiance and photovoltaic generation. The identified bibliography was categorized according to different parameters (method, data sources, baselines, performance metrics, forecasting horizon), and associated statistics were explored. Lastly, general findings are outlined, and suggestions for future research are provided based on the identification of less explored methods and data sources.
引用
收藏
页数:23
相关论文
共 133 条
[1]  
Agoua X.G., 2015, P 5 SOLAR INTEGRATIO, VVolume 16, P999
[2]   Photovoltaic Power Forecasting: Assessment of the Impact of Multiple Sources of Spatio-Temporal Data on Forecast Accuracy [J].
Agoua, Xwegnon Ghislain ;
Girard, Robin ;
Kariniotakis, Georges .
ENERGIES, 2021, 14 (05)
[3]   Probabilistic Models for Spatio-Temporal Photovoltaic Power Forecasting [J].
Agoua, Xwegnon Ghislain ;
Girard, Robin ;
Kariniotakis, George .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SUSTAINABLE ENERGY, 2019, 10 (02) :780-789
[4]   Short-Term Spatio-Temporal Forecasting of Photovoltaic Power Production [J].
Agoua, Xwegnon Ghislain ;
Girard, Robin ;
Kariniotakis, George .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SUSTAINABLE ENERGY, 2018, 9 (02) :538-546
[5]   A review on renewable energy and electricity requirement forecasting models for smart grid and buildings [J].
Ahmad, Tanveer ;
Zhang, Hongcai ;
Yan, Biao .
SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY, 2020, 55
[6]  
Alqudah M, 2020, PROCEEDINGS OF THE 53RD ANNUAL HAWAII INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SYSTEM SCIENCES, P2971
[7]  
Amaro E., 2019, J RENEW SUSTAIN ENER, V11, DOI [10.1063/1.5098763, DOI 10.1063/1.5098763]
[8]   Spatio-temporal PV forecasting sensitivity to modules' tilt and orientation [J].
Amaro e Silva, R. ;
Brito, M. C. .
APPLIED ENERGY, 2019, 255
[9]   Impact of network layout and time resolution on spatio-temporal solar forecasting [J].
Amaro e Silva, R. ;
Brito, M. C. .
SOLAR ENERGY, 2018, 163 :329-337
[10]  
Amaro e Silva R, 2019, THESIS U LISBOA