Climate change and international tourism: A simulation study

被引：223
作者：
Hamilton, JM
Maddison, DJ
Tol, RSJ
机构：
[1] Univ Hamburg, Ctr Marine & Cliamte Res, Res Unit Sustainabil & Global Change, D-20146 Hamburg, Germany
[2] Univ So Denmark, Inst Econ, Odense, Denmark
[3] Ctr Cultural Econ & Management, London, England
[4] Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Inst Environm Studies, NL-1081 HV Amsterdam, Netherlands
[5] Carnegie Mellon Univ, Ctr Integrated Study Human Dimens Global Change, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA
来源：
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS | 2005年 / 15卷 / 03期
基金：
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词：
tourism demand; climate change; global model;
D O I：
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2004.12.009
中图分类号：
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号：
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要：
The literature on tourism and climate change lacks an analysis of the global changes in tourism demand. Here, a simulation model of international tourism is presented that fills that gap. The current pattern of international tourist flows is modelled using 1995 data on departures and arrivals for 207 countries. Using this basic model the impact on arrivals and departures through changes in population, per capita income and climate change are analysed. In the medium to long term, tourism will grow, however, the change from climate change is smaller than from population and income changes. (c) 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码：253 / 266
页数：14
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] Sustainable Tourism and the Grand Challenge of Climate Change
    Scott, Daniel
    SUSTAINABILITY, 2021, 13 (04) : 1 - 17
  • [42] Climate Change and the Future of Winter Tourism in Slovenia
    Ogrin, Matej
    Ogrin, Darko
    Rodman, Nastja
    Mocnik, Matic
    Vengar, Rok
    Smolej, Andraz
    Buncic, Gregor
    HRVATSKI GEOGRAFSKI GLASNIK-CROATIAN GEOGRAPHICAL BULLETIN, 2011, 73 (01): : 215 - 228
  • [43] Climate Change and Its Impacts on Coastal Tourism
    Roland Sylvester
    地学前缘, 2009, (S1) : 111 - 111
  • [44] A virtual geobibliography of polar tourism and climate change
    Demiroglu, O. Cenk
    Bohn, Dorothee
    Dannevig, Halvor
    Hall, C. Michael
    Hehir, Christy
    Lundmark, Linda
    Nilsson, Robert O.
    Olsen, Julia
    Tervo-Kankare, Kaarina
    Vereda, Marisol
    Welling, Johannes
    JOURNAL OF SUSTAINABLE TOURISM, 2024, 32 (09) : 1948 - 1964
  • [45] Gender and climate change: A sustainable tourism perspective
    Ratten, Vanessa
    THUNDERBIRD INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS REVIEW, 2023, 65 (06) : 553 - 566
  • [46] CLIMATE CHANGE AND TOURISM ADAPTATION: LITERATURE REVIEW
    Njoroge, Joseph M.
    TOURISM AND HOSPITALITY MANAGEMENT-CROATIA, 2015, 21 (01): : 95 - 108
  • [47] Climate change and tourism in South and Central America
    Navarro-Drazich, Diego
    Christel, Lucas G.
    Gerique, Andres
    Grimm, Isabel
    Rendon, Maria-Luisa
    Alcantara, Liliane Schlemer
    Abraham, Yasmin
    Conde, Maria del Rosario
    De Simon, Cecilia
    JOURNAL OF SUSTAINABLE TOURISM, 2024, 32 (09) : 1876 - 1892
  • [48] Assessment of climate change vulnerability of tourism in Hungary
    Mária Csete
    Tamás Pálvölgyi
    Gábor Szendrő
    Regional Environmental Change, 2013, 13 : 1043 - 1057
  • [49] Climate change and tourism: Time for environmental skepticism
    Shani, Amir
    Arad, Boaz
    TOURISM MANAGEMENT, 2014, 44 : 82 - 85
  • [50] Attitudes of Tourism Students to the Environment and Climate Change
    McKercher, Bob
    Prideaux, Bruce
    Pang, Sharon F. H.
    ASIA PACIFIC JOURNAL OF TOURISM RESEARCH, 2013, 18 (1-2) : 108 - 143
12345