Climate change and international tourism: A simulation study

被引：223
|
作者：
Hamilton, JM
Maddison, DJ
Tol, RSJ
机构：
[1] Univ Hamburg, Ctr Marine & Cliamte Res, Res Unit Sustainabil & Global Change, D-20146 Hamburg, Germany
[2] Univ So Denmark, Inst Econ, Odense, Denmark
[3] Ctr Cultural Econ & Management, London, England
[4] Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Inst Environm Studies, NL-1081 HV Amsterdam, Netherlands
[5] Carnegie Mellon Univ, Ctr Integrated Study Human Dimens Global Change, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA
来源：
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS | 2005年 / 15卷 / 03期
基金：
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词：
tourism demand; climate change; global model;
D O I：
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2004.12.009
中图分类号：
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号：
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要：
The literature on tourism and climate change lacks an analysis of the global changes in tourism demand. Here, a simulation model of international tourism is presented that fills that gap. The current pattern of international tourist flows is modelled using 1995 data on departures and arrivals for 207 countries. Using this basic model the impact on arrivals and departures through changes in population, per capita income and climate change are analysed. In the medium to long term, tourism will grow, however, the change from climate change is smaller than from population and income changes. (c) 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码：253 / 266
页数：14
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] Climate change and tourism: a paradigm for enhancing tourism resilience in SIDS
    Pedapalli, Sarath Chandra Kanth
    Gupta, Bharti
    Mahajan, Prachi
    WORLDWIDE HOSPITALITY AND TOURISM THEMES, 2022, 14 (05) : 431 - 440
  • [32] Climate change and tourism futures: Responses by Australian tourism agencies
    Zeppel, Heather
    Beaumont, Narelle
    TOURISM AND HOSPITALITY RESEARCH, 2012, 12 (02) : 73 - 88
  • [33] The impact of climate change on tourism demand: evidence from Kazakhstan
    Ibragimov, Khusen
    Perles-Ribes, Jose Francisco
    Ramon-Rodriguez, Ana Belen
    ANATOLIA-INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TOURISM AND HOSPITALITY RESEARCH, 2022, 33 (02): : 293 - 297
  • [34] The effect of climate change in the future development of tourism: a theoretical approach
    Galanos, G.
    SUSTAINABLE TOURISM IV, 2010, 139 : 217 - 228
  • [35] The role of tourism management in adaptation to climate change - a study of a European inland area with a diversified tourism supply
    Csete, Maria
    Szecsi, Nora
    JOURNAL OF SUSTAINABLE TOURISM, 2015, 23 (03) : 477 - 496
  • [36] Climate Change and Grapevines: A Simulation Study for the Mediterranean Basin
    Ferrise, Roberto
    Trombi, Giacomo
    Moriondo, Marco
    Bindi, Marco
    JOURNAL OF WINE ECONOMICS, 2016, 11 (01) : 88 - 104
  • [37] Investigation of climate change impacts on tourism climate comfort in Iran
    Bakhtiari, B.
    Bakhtiari, A.
    Gorouh, Afzali Z.
    GLOBAL NEST JOURNAL, 2018, 20 (02): : 291 - 303
  • [38] Climate services to support sustainable tourism and adaptation to climate change
    Scott, Daniel J.
    Lemieux, Christopher J.
    Malone, Leslie
    CLIMATE RESEARCH, 2011, 47 (1-2) : 111 - 122
  • [39] International trade and climate change
    Chen, Xiao
    Woodland, Alan
    INTERNATIONAL TAX AND PUBLIC FINANCE, 2013, 20 (03) : 381 - 413
  • [40] International trade and climate change
    Xiao Chen
    Alan Woodland
    International Tax and Public Finance, 2013, 20 : 381 - 413
12345