Empirical Likelihood for an Autoregressive Model with Explanatory Variables

被引:15
作者
Zhao, Zhi-Wen [1 ,2 ]
Wang, De-Hui [1 ]
机构
[1] Jilin Normal Univ, Coll Math, Siping 136000, Peoples R China
[2] Jilin Univ, Coll Math, Changchun 130023, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Asymptotic normality; Autoregressive model; Confidence region; Empirical likelihood; Least squares estimation; SERIES REGRESSION-MODELS; OF-FIT TEST; TIME-SERIES; CONFIDENCE-REGIONS;
D O I
10.1080/03610920903411267
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
In this article, we use the empirical likelihood method to construct the confidence region for parameters in autoregressive model with martingale difference error. It is shown that the empirical log-likelihood ratio at the true parameter converges to the standard chi-square distribution. The simulation results suggest that the empirical likelihood method outperforms the normal approximation based method in terms of coverage probability.
引用
收藏
页码:559 / 570
页数:12
相关论文
共 17 条
[1]   STRONG CONSISTENCY OF LEAST-SQUARES ESTIMATES IN DYNAMIC-MODELS [J].
ANDERSON, TW ;
TAYLOR, JB .
ANNALS OF STATISTICS, 1979, 7 (03) :484-489
[2]  
Beckenbach E. F., 1983, Inequalities
[3]   Empirical likelihood for GARCH models [J].
Chan, NH ;
Ling, SQ .
ECONOMETRIC THEORY, 2006, 22 (03) :403-428
[4]   An adaptive empirical likelihood test for parametric time series regression models [J].
Chen, Song Xi ;
Gao, Jiti .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2007, 141 (02) :950-972
[5]   An empirical likelihood goodness-of-fit test for time series [J].
Chen, SX ;
Härdle, W ;
Li, M .
JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES B-STATISTICAL METHODOLOGY, 2003, 65 :663-678
[6]  
Chuang CS, 2002, STAT SINICA, V12, P387
[7]   ASYMPTOTIC PROPERTIES OF LEAST-SQUARES ESTIMATORS IN AUTOREGRESSION [J].
CROWDER, MJ .
ANNALS OF STATISTICS, 1980, 8 (01) :132-146
[8]   Exact inference methods for first-order autoregressive distributed lag models [J].
Dufour, JM ;
Kiviet, JF .
ECONOMETRICA, 1998, 66 (01) :79-104
[9]  
DURBIN J, 1960, J ROY STAT SOC B, V22, P139
[10]   Generalized empirical likelihood tests in time series models with potential identification failure [J].
Guggenberger, Patrik ;
Smith, Richard J. .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2008, 142 (01) :134-161