COVID-PA Bulletin: reports on artificial intelligence-based forecasting in coping with COVID-19 pandemic in the state of Para, Brazil

被引:1
|
作者
de Souza Jr, Gilberto Nerino [1 ]
Braga, Marcus de Barros [1 ]
Silva Rodrigues, Luana Lorena [2 ]
Fernandes, Rafael da Silva [3 ]
Juca Ramos, Rommel Thiago [4 ]
Carneiro, Adriana Ribeiro [4 ]
de Brito, Silvana Rossy [5 ]
Fonseca Dolacio, Cicero Jorge [6 ]
Tavares Jr, Ivaldo da Silva [7 ]
Noronha, Fernando Napoleao [3 ]
Pinheiro, Raphael Rodrigues [8 ]
Carneiro Diniz, Hugo Alex [9 ]
Botelho, Marcel do Nascimento [10 ]
Rosario Vallinoto, Antonio Carlos [4 ]
Castro da Rocha, Jonas Elias [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Fed Rural Amazonia, Campus Paragominas, Paragominas, Para, Brazil
[2] Univ Fed Oeste Para, Programa Posgrad Ciencias Saude, Santarem, Para, Brazil
[3] Univ Fed Rural Amazonia, Campus Parauapebas, Parauapebas, Para, Brazil
[4] Univ Fed Para, Inst Ciencias Biol, Belem, Para, Brazil
[5] Univ Fed Rural Amazonia, Inst Ciberespacial, Belem, Para, Brazil
[6] Univ Fed Parana, Dept Engn & Tecnol Florestal, Curitiba, Parana, Brazil
[7] Univ Fed Vicosa, Dept Engn Florestal, Vicosa, MG, Brazil
[8] Univ Fed Rural Amazonia, Campus Belem, Belem, Para, Brazil
[9] Univ Fed Oeste Para, Inst Ciencias Educ, Santarem, Para, Brazil
[10] Univ Fed Rural Amazonia, Inst Socioambiental & Recursos Hidr, Belem, Para, Brazil
来源
EPIDEMIOLOGIA E SERVICOS DE SAUDE | 2021年 / 30卷 / 04期
关键词
COVID-19; Artificial Intelligence; Forecast; Neural Networks; Decision Making; PREDICTION; MODELS;
D O I
10.1590/S1679-49742021000400012
中图分类号
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号
1004 ; 120402 ;
摘要
Objective: To report the university extension research result entitled 'The COVID-PA Bulletin', which presented forecasts on the behavior of the pandemic in the state of Para, Brazil. Methods: The artificial intelligence technique also known as 'artificial neural networks' was used to generate 13 bulletins with short-term forecasts based on historical data from the State Department of Public Health information system. Results: After eight months of predictions, the technique generated reliable results, with an average accuracy of 97% (observed for147 days) for confirmed cases, 96% (observed for 161 days) for deaths and 86% (observed for 72 days) for Intensive Care Unit bed occupancy. Conclusion: These bulletins have become a useful decision-making tool for public managers, assisting in the reallocation of hospital resources and optimization of COVID-19 control strategies in various regions of the state of Para.
引用
收藏
页数:9
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [21] Do you have COVID-19? An artificial intelligence-based screening tool for COVID-19 using acoustic parameters
    Vahedian-azimi, Amir
    Keramatfar, Abdalsamad
    Asiaee, Maral
    Atashi, Seyed Shahab
    Nourbakhsh, Mandana
    JOURNAL OF THE ACOUSTICAL SOCIETY OF AMERICA, 2021, 150 (03): : 1945 - 1953
  • [22] Artificial Intelligence during a pandemic: The COVID-19 example
    Dananjayan, Sathian
    Raj, Gerard Marshall
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HEALTH PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT, 2020, 35 (05): : 1260 - 1262
  • [23] The Role of Artificial Intelligence in Fighting the COVID-19 Pandemic
    Piccialli, Francesco
    di Cola, Vincenzo Schiano
    Giampaolo, Fabio
    Cuomo, Salvatore
    INFORMATION SYSTEMS FRONTIERS, 2021, 23 (06) : 1467 - 1497
  • [24] Artificial intelligence and the COVID-19 pandemic: Ethical implications
    Alexiadou, A. S.
    ARCHIVES OF HELLENIC MEDICINE, 2020, 37 (05): : 708 - 713
  • [25] Analysis of COVID-19 Pandemic Using Artificial Intelligence
    Amjad, Maaz
    Rodriguez Chavez, Yuriria
    Nayab, Zaryyab
    Zhila, Alisa
    Sidorov, Grigori
    Gelbukh, Alexander
    ADVANCES IN COMPUTATIONAL INTELLIGENCE, MICAI 2020, PT II, 2020, 12469 : 65 - 73
  • [26] Artificial Intelligence (AI) applications for COVID-19 pandemic
    Vaishya, Raju
    Javaid, Mohd
    Khan, Ibrahim Haleem
    Haleem, Abid
    DIABETES & METABOLIC SYNDROME-CLINICAL RESEARCH & REVIEWS, 2020, 14 (04) : 337 - 339
  • [27] Role of Artificial Intelligence in Combating COVID-19 Pandemic
    Kaur, Puneet
    Kaur, Jasdeep
    Singh, Prabhsimran
    Sharma, Sandeep
    ADVANCES IN DATA AND INFORMATION SCIENCES, 2022, 318 : 121 - 129
  • [28] Artificial Intelligence Functionalities During the COVID-19 Pandemic
    Marzaleh, Milad Ahmadi
    Peyravi, Mahmoudreza
    Mousavi, Shahrokh
    Sarpourian, Fatemeh
    Seyedi, Milad
    Shalyari, Naseh
    DISASTER MEDICINE AND PUBLIC HEALTH PREPAREDNESS, 2023, 17
  • [29] The Role of Artificial Intelligence in Fighting the COVID-19 Pandemic
    Francesco Piccialli
    Vincenzo Schiano di Cola
    Fabio Giampaolo
    Salvatore Cuomo
    Information Systems Frontiers, 2021, 23 : 1467 - 1497
  • [30] How are university hospitals coping with the COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil?
    Guedes dos Santos, Jose Luis
    de Melo Lanzoni, Gabriela Marcellino
    Neves Alonso Costa, Maria Fernanda Baeta
    Debetio, Juanah Oliveira
    de Sousa, Leonardo Pereira
    dos Santos, Lucas Soares
    Marcelino, Tatiane Boeing
    Ferreira de Mello, Ana Lucia Schaefer
    ACTA PAULISTA DE ENFERMAGEM, 2020, 33