Assessing the effects of metropolitan-wide quarantine on the spread of COVID-19 in public space and households

被引：64

作者：

Shen, Mingwang ^{[1
]}

Peng, Zhihang ^{[2
]}

Guo, Yuming ^{[3
]}

Rong, Libin ^{[4
]}

Li, Yan ^{[5
,6
]}

Xiao, Yanni ^{[7
]}

Zhuang, Guihua ^{[1
]}

Zhang, Lei ^{[1
,8
,9
,10
]}

机构：

[1] Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, China Australia Joint Res Ctr Infect Dis, Sch Publ Hlth, Hlth Sci Ctr, Xian 710061, Shaanxi, Peoples R China

[2] Nanjing Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, Nanjing 210029, Jiangsu, Peoples R China

[3] Monash Univ, Sch Publ Hlth & Prevent Med, Dept Epidemiol & Prevent Med, Melbourne, Vic 3004, Australia

[4] Univ Florida, Dept Math, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA

[5] Icahn Sch Med Mt Sinai, Dept Populat Hlth Sci & Policy, New York, NY 10029 USA

[6] Icahn Sch Med Mt Sinai, Dept Obstet Gynecol & Reprod Sci, New York, NY 10029 USA

[7] Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Xian 710049, Shaanxi, Peoples R China

[8] Alfred Hlth, Melbourne Sexual Hlth Ctr, Melbourne, Vic, Australia

[9] Monash Univ, Fac Med Nursing & Hlth Sci, Cent Clin Sch, Melbourne, Vic, Australia

[10] Zhengzhou Univ, Coll Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, Zhengzhou 450001, Henan, Peoples R China

来源：

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES | 2020年 / 96卷

基金：

中国国家自然科学基金; 美国国家科学基金会; 中国博士后科学基金; 英国医学研究理事会;

关键词：

COVID-19; Metropolitan-wide quarantine; Public space; Households;

D O I：

10.1016/j.ijid.2020.05.019

中图分类号：

R51 [传染病];

学科分类号：

100401 ;

摘要：

Hubei province in China has completed cycle of quarantine-resumption in 23rd Janauary and 8th April 2020, providing a unique opportunity as for now to assess its intervention impact and the pattern of SARS-COV-2 transmission during the quarantine period. In this study, we evaluate the impact of the metropolitan-wide quarantine on the trend and transmission route of the COVID-19 epidemic in Hubei, China. The intervention reduces more than 70% of new infections in both households and the public space, as well as the deaths caused by COVID-19 pneumonia. Household transmission is the dominant route of disease spread regardless of quarantine. This will provide important evidence and scientific insights to other worldwide countries that are currently under quarantine. (C) 2020 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of International Society for Infectious Diseases.

引用

页码：503 / 505

页数：3

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