Volatility spillover from world oil spot markets to aggregate and electricity stock index returns in Turkey

被引:52
作者
Soytas, Ugur [1 ]
Oran, Adil [1 ]
机构
[1] METU, Dept BA, TR-06531 Ankara, Turkey
关键词
Oil price; Stock market returns; Volatility spillover; Electricity index returns; Emerging market; Cheung-Ng procedure; IMPULSE-RESPONSE ANALYSIS; PRICE SHOCKS; MULTIVARIATE MODELS; EMPLOYMENT; COMPANIES;
D O I
10.1016/j.apenergy.2010.07.018
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
This study examines the inter-temporal links between world oil prices, ISE 100 and ISE electricity index returns unadjusted and adjusted for market effects. The traditional approaches could not detect a causal relationship running from oil returns to any of the stock returns. However, when we examine the causality using Cheung-Ng approach we discover that world oil prices Granger cause electricity index and adjusted electricity index returns in variance, but not the aggregate market index returns. Hence, our results show that the Cheung-Ng procedure with the use of disaggregated stock index returns can uncover new information that went unnoticed with the traditional causality tests using aggregated market indices. (C) 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:354 / 360
页数:7
相关论文
共 32 条
  • [1] [Anonymous], 2001, THEORETICAL EMPIRICA, DOI [10.3386/w8554, DOI 10.3386/W8554]
  • [2] Oil price risk and emerging stock markets
    Basher, Syed A.
    Sadorsky, Perry
    [J]. GLOBAL FINANCE JOURNAL, 2006, 17 (02) : 224 - 251
  • [3] Modeling the relationship between the oil price and global food prices
    Chen, Sheng-Tung
    Kuo, Hsiao-I
    Chen, Chi-Chung
    [J]. APPLIED ENERGY, 2010, 87 (08) : 2517 - 2525
  • [4] A causality-in-variance test and its application to financial market prices
    Cheung, YW
    Ng, LK
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 1996, 72 (1-2) : 33 - 48
  • [5] Relationships between oil price shocks and stock market: An empirical analysis from China
    Cong, Rong-Gang
    Wei, Yi-Ming
    Jiao, Jian-Lin
    Fan, Ying
    [J]. ENERGY POLICY, 2008, 36 (09) : 3544 - 3553
  • [6] Dynamic cyclical comovements of oil prices with industrial production, consumer prices, unemployment, and stock prices
    Ewing, Bradley T.
    Thompson, Mark A.
    [J]. ENERGY POLICY, 2007, 35 (11) : 5535 - 5540
  • [7] Volatility transmission in the oil and natural gas markets
    Ewing, BT
    Malik, F
    Ozfidan, O
    [J]. ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2002, 24 (06) : 525 - 538
  • [8] OIL AND THE MACROECONOMY SINCE WORLD-WAR-II
    HAMILTON, JD
    [J]. JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY, 1983, 91 (02) : 228 - 248
  • [9] Dynamic relationships among GCC stock markets and NYMEX oil futures
    Hammoudeh, S
    Aleisa, E
    [J]. CONTEMPORARY ECONOMIC POLICY, 2004, 22 (02) : 250 - 269
  • [10] Oil sensitivity and systematic risk in oil-sensitive stock indices
    Hammoudeh, Shawkat
    Li, Huimin
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS, 2005, 57 (01) : 1 - 21