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A simple testing procedure for unit root and model specification
被引:3
|作者:
Costantini, Mauro
[1
]
Sen, Amit
[2
]
机构:
[1] Brunel Univ, Dept Econ & Finance, London, England
[2] Xavier Univ, Dept Econ, 328 Smith Hall,3800 Victory Pkwy, Cincinnati, OH 45207 USA
关键词:
Unit root;
Break date;
Trend break;
Level shift;
F-test;
Model mis-specification;
AUTOREGRESSIVE TIME-SERIES;
OIL-PRICE SHOCK;
GREAT CRASH;
BREAK;
D O I:
10.1016/j.csda.2016.04.001
中图分类号:
TP39 [计算机的应用];
学科分类号:
081203 ;
0835 ;
摘要:
Tests for the joint null hypothesis of a unit root based on the components representation of a time series are developed. The proposed testing procedure is designed to detect a unit root as well as guide the practitioner regarding the specification of trend component of a time series. The limiting null distributions of the newly developed F-statistics are derived. Finite sample simulation evidence shows that the F-statistics maintain their size, and have power against the trend-break stationary alternative. The use of our methodology is illustrated through an empirical examination of the US-UK real exchange rate, the UK industrial production, and the UK CPI series. (C) 2016 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license.
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页码:37 / 54
页数:18
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