ENE-COVID nationwide serosurvey served to characterize asymptomatic infections and to develop a symptom-based risk score to predict COVID-19

被引:8
作者
Perez-Gomez, Beatriz [1 ,2 ]
Pastor-Barriuso, Roberto [1 ,2 ]
Perez-Olmeda, Mayte [3 ]
Hernan, Miguel A. [4 ,5 ]
Oteo-Iglesias, Jesus [3 ,6 ]
Fernandez de Larrea, Nerea [1 ,2 ]
Fernandez-Garcia, Aurora [2 ,3 ]
Martin, Mariano [7 ]
Fernandez-Navarro, Pablo [1 ,2 ]
Cruz, Israel [8 ]
Sanmartin, Jose L. [7 ]
Leon Paniagua, Jose [9 ]
Munoz-Montalvo, Juan F. [7 ]
Blanco, Faustino [7 ]
Yotti, Raquel [9 ]
Pollan, Marina [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Inst Salud Carlos III ISCIII, Natl Ctr Epidemiol, Monforte de Lemos 5, Madrid 28029, Spain
[2] Inst Salud Carlos III ISCIII, Consortium Biomed Res Epidemiol & Publ Hlth CIBER, Monforte de Lemos 5, Madrid 28029, Spain
[3] Inst Salud Carlos III ISCIII, Natl Ctr Microbiol, Ctra Pozuelo 28, Madrid 28222, Spain
[4] Harvard MIT Div Hlth Sci & Technol, Harvard TH Chan Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol, 677 Huntington Ave, Boston, MA 02115 USA
[5] Harvard MIT Div Hlth Sci & Technol, Harvard TH Chan Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Biostat, 677 Huntington Ave, Boston, MA 02115 USA
[6] Inst Salud Carlos III ISCIII, Spanish Network Res Infect Dis REIPI, Monforte de Lemos 5, Madrid 28029, Spain
[7] Minist Hlth, Informat Technol, Paseo Prado 18, Madrid 28014, Spain
[8] Inst Salud Carlos III ISCIII, Natl Sch Publ Hlth, Monforte de Lemos 5, Madrid 28029, Spain
[9] Inst Salud Carlos III ISCIII, Monforte de Lemos 5, Madrid 28029, Spain
关键词
COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; infection; Symptoms; Prediction model; General population; Nationwide serosurvey;
D O I
10.1016/j.jclinepi.2021.06.005
中图分类号
R19 [保健组织与事业(卫生事业管理)];
学科分类号
摘要
Objectives: To characterize asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections and develop a symptom-based risk score useful in primary healthcare. Study design and setting: Sixty-one thousand ninty-two community-dwelling participants in a nationwide population-based serosurvey completed a questionnaire on COVID-19 symptoms and received an immunoassay for SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies between April 27 and June 22, 2020. Standardized prevalence ratios for asymptomatic infection were estimated across participant characteristics. We constructed a symptom-based risk score and evaluated its ability to predict SARS-CoV-2 infection. Results: Of all, 28.7% of infections were asymptomatic (95% CI 26.1-31.4%). Standardized asymptomatic prevalence ratios were 1.19 (1.02-1.40) for men vs. women, 1.82 (1.33-2.50) and 1.45 (0.96-2.18) for individuals <20 and >= 80 years vs. those aged 4059, 1.27 (1.03-1.55) for smokers vs. nonsmokers, and 1.91 (1.59-2.29) for individuals without vs. with case contact. In symptomatic population, a symptom-based score (weights: severe tiredness = 1; absence of sore throat = 1; fever = 2; anosmia/ageusia = 5) reached standardized seroprevalence ratio of 8.71 (7.37-10.3), discrimination index of 0.79 (0.77-0.81), and sensitivity and specificity of 71.4% (68.1-74.4%) and 74.2% (73.1-75.2%) for a score >= 3. Conclusion: The presence of anosmia/ageusia, fever with severe tiredness, or fever without sore throat should serve to suspect COVID-19 in areas with active viral circulation. The proportion of asymptomatics in children and adolescents challenges infection control. (C) 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc.
引用
收藏
页码:240 / 254
页数:15
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