Multivariate analysis applied to monthly rainfall over Rio de Janeiro state, Brazil

被引:62
作者
Brito, Thabata T. [1 ]
Oliveira-Junior, Jose F. [2 ]
Lyra, Gustavo B. [2 ]
Gois, Givanildo [2 ]
Zeri, Marcelo [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Fed Fluminense, Escola Engn, Posgrad Engn Biossistemas, BR-24210240 Niteroi, RJ, Brazil
[2] UFRRJ, Inst Florestas, Dept Ciencias Ambientais, BR-23890000 Seropedica, RJ, Brazil
[3] Natl Ctr Monitoring & Early Warning Nat Disasters, Estr Doutor Altino Bondesan 500, BR-12247016 Sao Jose Dos Campos, SP, Brazil
关键词
SCALE COMMON FEATURES; BAIU FRONTAL ZONE; CLUSTER-ANALYSIS; PRECIPITATION; VARIABILITY; BLOCKING; ANTICYCLONES; CLIMATOLOGY; INTENSITY; AMERICA;
D O I
10.1007/s00703-016-0481-x
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
Spatial and temporal patterns of rainfall were identified over the state of Rio de Janeiro, southeast Brazil. The proximity to the coast and the complex topography create great diversity of rainfall over space and time. The dataset consisted of time series (1967-2013) of monthly rainfall over 100 meteorological stations. Clustering analysis made it possible to divide the stations into six groups (G(1), G(2), G(3), G(4), G(5) and G(6)) with similar rainfall spatio-temporal patterns. A linear regression model was applied to a time series and a reference. The reference series was calculated from the average rainfall within a group, using nearby stations with higher correlation (Pearson). Based on t-test (p < 0.05) all stations had a linear spatiotemporal trend. According to the clustering analysis, the first group (G(1)) contains stations located over the coastal lowlands and also over the ocean facing area of Serra do Mar (Sea ridge), a 1500 km long mountain range over the coastal Southeastern Brazil. The second group (G(2)) contains stations over all the state, from Serra da Mantiqueira (Mantiqueira Mountains) and Costa Verde (Green coast), to the south, up to stations in the Northern parts of the state. Group 3 (G(3)) contains stations in the highlands over the state (Serrana region), while group 4 (G(4)) has stations over the northern areas and the continent-facing side of Serra do Mar. The last two groups were formed with stations around Paraiba River (G(5)) and the metropolitan area of the city of Rio de Janeiro (G(6)). The driest months in all regions were June, July and August, while November, December and January were the rainiest months. Sharp transitions occurred when considering monthly accumulated rainfall: from January to February, and from February to March, likely associated with episodes of "veranicos", i.e., periods of 4-15 days of duration with no rainfall.
引用
收藏
页码:469 / 478
页数:10
相关论文
共 45 条
  • [1] An objective criterion for determining the South Atlantic Convergence Zone
    Ambrizzi, Tercio
    Ferraz, Simone E. T.
    [J]. FRONTIERS IN ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE, 2015, 3
  • [2] André Romisio Geraldo Bouhid, 2008, Rev. bras. meteorol., V23, P501, DOI 10.1590/S0102-77862008000400009
  • [3] Barbieri PRB., 2007, THESIS
  • [4] Calbete N. O., 1996, CLIMANALISE ESPECIAL
  • [5] Carvalho LMV, 2004, J CLIMATE, V17, P88, DOI 10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<0088:TSACZI>2.0.CO
  • [6] 2
  • [7] Cruz Eleandro S., 2004, Eng. Agríc., V24, P68, DOI 10.1590/S0100-69162004000100009
  • [8] Dereczynski Claudine Pereira, 2009, Rev. bras. meteorol., V24, P24, DOI 10.1590/S0102-77862009000100003
  • [9] Development Core Team R, 2011, R LANG ENV STAT COMP
  • [10] Everitt B.S, 1991, Applied multivariate analysis