A probabilistic assessment of the diagnosis of paraganglioma/pheochromocytoma based on clinical criteria and biochemical/imaging findings

Paragangliomas (PGL) and pheochromocytomas (P) are rare neural-crest-derived neoplasms. Very recently guidelines on diagnosis and treatment of PGL/P have been presented by the US Endocrine Society. In the following overview we assessed the implementation of these guidelines with probabilistic reasoning (calculating with Fagan nomograms the post-test probability of PGL/P for a given pre-test probability). Conclusion: Biochemical evaluation of PGL/P showed excellent diagnostic characteristics with post-test probabilities that are very different from the pre-test probabilities, thus a positive biochemical test is usually indicative of disease whereas a negative one usually rules out disease. The post-test probabilities of anatomical and functional imaging modalities (i.e. in nuclear medicine) were different from the pre-test probabilities but to a lesser degree than the biochemical tests; furthermore in biochemically-proven PGL/P a negative imaging modality is not useful, while a positive one may indicate only one of multiple foci of metastatic/extra-adrenal disease. Thus, regarding imaging modalities, they should be combined in order to get the most of their characteristics for the localization of PGL/P.