Multigroup SIR epidemic model with stochastic perturbation

被引:160
作者
Ji, Chunyan [1 ,2 ]
Jiang, Daqing [1 ]
Shi, Ningzhong [1 ]
机构
[1] NE Normal Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Changchun 130024, Jilin, Peoples R China
[2] Changshu Inst Technol, Dept Math, Changshu 215500, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
关键词
Stochastic multigroup SIR model; Disease-free equilibrium; Endemic equilibrium; Stochastic Lyapunov function; Asymptotically stable in the large; Persistent in mean; DIFFERENTIAL-EQUATIONS; NUMERICAL-SIMULATION; STABILITY; ENVIRONMENT;
D O I
10.1016/j.physa.2010.12.042
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
In this paper, we discuss a multigroup SIR model with stochastic perturbation. We deduce the globally asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium when R-0 <= 1, which means the disease will die out. On the other hand, when R-0 > 1, we derive the disease will prevail, which is measured through the difference between the solution and the endemic equilibrium of the deterministic model in time average. Furthermore, we prove the system is persistent in the mean which also reflects the disease will prevail. The key to our analysis is choosing appropriate Lyapunov functions. Finally, we illustrate the dynamic behavior of the model with n = 2 and their approximations via a range of numerical experiments. (C) 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1747 / 1762
页数:16
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