Multi-Dimensional Hypothetical Fuzzy Risk Simulation model for Greenhouse Gas mitigation policy development

被引:12
|
作者
Liu, Lirong [1 ]
Huang, Guohe [2 ]
Baetz, Brian [3 ]
Guan, Yuru [4 ]
Zhang, Kaiqiang [5 ]
机构
[1] Univ Regina, Inst Energy Environm & Sustainable Communities, Regina, SK S4S 0A2, Canada
[2] Univ Regina, Fac Engn & Appl Sci, Regina, SK S4S 0A2, Canada
[3] McMaster Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Hamilton, ON L8S 4L7, Canada
[4] North China Elect Power Univ, Sino Canada Resources & Environm Res Acad, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
[5] Imperial Coll London, Dept Chem Engn, South Kensington Campus, London SW7 2AZ, England
基金
加拿大自然科学与工程研究理事会;
关键词
Multi-Dimensional Risk Simulation; Greenhouse Gas mitigation; Policy development; Hypothetical analysis; Canada; INPUT-OUTPUT; GHG EMISSIONS; INDUSTRY; IDENTIFICATION; DECOMPOSITION; NETWORK; ENERGY; CHINA; SASKATCHEWAN; INNOVATION;
D O I
10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.114348
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
Changing climate is one of the most challenging environment issues worldwide. The objective of this paper is to develop a Multi-Dimensional Hypothetical Fuzzy Risk Simulation Model to facilitate the Greenhouse Gases mitigation policy development and multi-dimensional risk simulation. In detail, the comprehensive performances of various industries are evaluated and analyzed through Hypothetical Extraction Method. The preferences of decision-makers are considered through Analytic Hierarchy Process and Fuzzy Technique for Order Preference by Similarities to Ideal Solution method to develop the optimized Greenhouse Gases mitigation policies. The multi-dimensional risks of optimized Greenhouse Gases mitigation policies are simulated through RAS method. A detailed case study of the Province of Saskatchewan, Canada, is conducted to illustrate the potential benefits of the proposed model and support the Greenhouse Gases mitigation policy development. It is found that Electric power generation, transmission and distribution sector is the key industry in Saskatchewan. The government supports are suggested to be allocated to the Electric power generation, transmission and distribution sector, since it will benefit the province from environmental, economic, and urban metabolic perspectives.
引用
收藏
页数:10
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