Convolutions of heavy-tailed random variables and applications to portfolio diversification and MA(1) time series

被引:13
作者
Geluk, JL
Peng, L
De Vries, CG
机构
[1] Erasmus Univ, Inst Econometr, NL-3000 DR Rotterdam, Netherlands
[2] Australian Natl Univ, Ctr Math & Its Applicat, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia
[3] Erasmus Univ, Dept Econ, NL-3000 DR Rotterdam, Netherlands
关键词
heavytails; regular variation; portfolio diversification; convolution; time series;
D O I
10.1017/S0001867800010430
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Suppose X-1, X-2 are independent random variables satisfying a second-order regular variation condition on the tail-sum and a balance condition on the tails. In this paper we give a description of the asymptotic behaviour as t --> infinity for P(X-1 + X-2 > t) The result is applied to the problem of risk diversification in portfolio analysis and to the estimation of the parameter in a MA(1) model.
引用
收藏
页码:1011 / 1026
页数:16
相关论文
共 25 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], 1995, PROBABILITY MATH STA
[2]  
BINGHAM N. H., 1989, Regular variation
[3]  
Brockwell P. J., 1991, TIME SERIES THEORY M
[4]  
Copeland TE, 1983, FINANCIAL THEORY COR
[5]  
DACOROGNA MM, 1998, UNPUB EXTREMAL FOREX
[6]  
DANIELSSON J, 2000, IN PRESS ANN EC STAT, V60
[7]  
Danielsson J., 1997, J Empir Finance, V4, P241, DOI [10.1016/S0927-5398(97)00008-X, DOI 10.1016/S0927-5398(97)00008-X]
[8]   Inference for the tail parameters of a linear process with heavy tail innovations [J].
Datta, S ;
McCormick, WP .
ANNALS OF THE INSTITUTE OF STATISTICAL MATHEMATICS, 1998, 50 (02) :337-359
[9]   Maximum likelihood estimation for MA(1) processes with a root on or near the unit circle [J].
Davis, RA ;
Dunsmuir, WTM .
ECONOMETRIC THEORY, 1996, 12 (01) :1-29
[10]   Gaussian likelihood-based inference for non-invertible MA(1) processes with SαS noise [J].
Davis, RA ;
Mikosch, T .
STOCHASTIC PROCESSES AND THEIR APPLICATIONS, 1998, 77 (01) :99-122