The cold effect of ambient temperature on ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke hospital admissions: A large database study in Beijing, China between years 2013 and 2014-Utilizing a distributed lag non-linear analysis

被引:70
作者
Luo, Yanxia [1 ,2 ]
Li, Haibin [1 ,2 ]
Huang, Fangfang [1 ,3 ]
Van Halm-Lutterodt, Nicholas [4 ]
Xu, Qin [1 ,2 ]
Wang, Anxin [1 ,2 ]
Guo, Jin [5 ]
Tao, Lixin [1 ,2 ]
Li, Xia [6 ]
Liu, Mengyang [1 ,2 ]
Zheng, Deqiang [1 ,2 ]
Chen, Sipeng [1 ,2 ]
Zhang, Feng [1 ,2 ]
Yang, Xinghua [1 ,2 ]
Tan, Peng [7 ]
Wang, Wei [8 ]
Xie, Xueqin [7 ]
Guo, Xiuhua [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Capital Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Hlth Stat, Beijing, Peoples R China
[2] Capital Med Univ, Beijing Municipal Key Lab Clin Epidemiol, Beijing, Peoples R China
[3] Henan Univ Sci & Technol, Med Sch, Luoyang, Peoples R China
[4] Capital Med Univ Beijing, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurosurg, Beijing, Peoples R China
[5] Greenwood Med Co, Greenwood, SC USA
[6] La Trobe Univ, Dept Math & Stat, Bundoora, Vic, Australia
[7] Beijing Publ Hlth Informat Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R China
[8] Edith Cowan Univ, Sch Med Sci & Hlth, Global Hlth & Genom, Joondalup, WA 6027, Australia
基金
英国医学研究理事会;
关键词
Stroke; Hospital admissions; Ambient temperature; Attributable fraction; CASE-CROSSOVER; CARDIOVASCULAR HOSPITALIZATION; MORTALITY; RISK; WEATHER; BURDEN;
D O I
10.1016/j.envpol.2017.09.021
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
The effects of ambient temperature on stroke death in China have been well addressed. However, few studies are focused on the attributable burden for the incident of different types of stroke due to ambient temperature, especially in Beijing, China. We purpose to assess the influence of ambient temperature on hospital stroke admissions in Beijing, China. Data on daily temperature, air pollution, and relative humidity measurements and stroke admissions in Beijing were obtained between 2013 and 2014. Distributed lag non-linear model was employed to determine the association between daily ambient temperature and stroke admissions. Relative risk (RR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) and Attribution fraction (AF) with 95% CI were calculated based on stroke subtype, gender and age group. A total number of 147, 624 stroke admitted cases (including hemorrhagic and ischemic types of stroke) were documented. A non-linear acute effect of cold temperature on ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke hospital admissions was evaluated. Compared with the 25th percentile of temperature (1.2 degrees C), the cumulative RR of extreme cold temperature (first percentile of temperature, -9.6 degrees C) was 1.51 (95% CI: 1.08-2.10) over lag 0-14 days for ischemic type and 1.28 (95% CI: 1.03-1.59) for hemorrhagic stroke over lag 0-3 days. Overall, 1.57% (95% CI: 0.06%-2.88%) of ischemic stroke and 1.90% (95% CI: 0.40%-3.41%) of hemorrhagic stroke was attributed to the extreme cold temperature over lag 0-7 days and lag 0-3 days, respectively. The cold temperature's impact on stroke admissions was found to be more obvious in male gender and the youth compared to female gender and the elderly. Exposure to extreme cold temperature is associated with increasing both ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke admissions in Beijing, China. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:90 / 96
页数:7
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