Mapping Rift Valley fever and malaria risk over West Africa using climatic indicators

被引：26

作者：

Caminade, C. ^{[1
]}

Ndione, J. A. ^{[2
]}

Kebe, C. M. F. ^{[3
]}

Jones, A. E. ^{[1
]}

Danuor, S. ^{[4
]}

Tay, S. ^{[4
]}

Tourre, Y. M. ^{[5
,6
]}

Lacaux, J-P. ^{[7
]}

Vignolles, C. ^{[8
]}

Duchemin, J. B. ^{[9
]}

Jeanne, I. ^{[9
]}

Morse, A. P. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Liverpool, Sch Environm Sci, Liverpool L69 7ZT, Merseyside, England

[2] CSE, Dakar, Senegal

[3] Univ Cheikh Anta Diop, Dakar, Senegal

[4] KNUST, Kumasi, Ghana

[5] Meteo France, Dept Climat Analyses & Veille Hydroclimat AVH, Toulouse, France

[6] Columbia Univ, Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, Palisades, NY USA

[7] OMP Lab Aerol, Toulouse, France

[8] CNES, Toulouse, France

[9] CERMES Ctr Rech Med & Sanit, Niamey, Niger

来源：

ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS | 2011年 / 12卷 / 01期

关键词：

vector-borne diseases; malaria; Rift Valley fever; disease modelling; climate change; West Africa; AEDES-VEXANS; SENEGAL; TRANSMISSION; RESOLUTION; MODEL;

D O I：

10.1002/asl.296

中图分类号：

P3 [地球物理学]; P59 [地球化学];

学科分类号：

0708 ; 070902 ;

摘要：

The aim of this study is to highlight the recent progress in mapping vector-borne diseases in West Africa using modelling and field experiments. Based on climatic indicators, methods have been developed to map Rift Valley fever (RVF) and malaria risk. Modelling results corroborate that northern Senegal and southern Mauritania appear to be critical areas for RVF outbreaks and that the malaria epidemic fringe is located at the northern edge of the Sahel. Future projections highlight that the malaria risk decreases over northern Sahel. This is related to a southward shift of the potential epidemic belt in autumn. Copyright (C) 2010 Royal Meteorological Society

引用

页码：96 / 103

页数：8

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