Controlling the uncertainty in reservoir stochastic simulation

被引:1
作者
Cui Yong [1 ]
Chi Bo
Chen Guo [2 ]
Ouyang Cheng [2 ]
Xia Bairu [1 ]
机构
[1] China Univ Geosci, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
[2] PetroChina Chuanqing Drilling Engn Co, Geol Explorat & Dev Res Inst, Chengdu 610051, Sichuan, Peoples R China
关键词
Reservoir stochastic simulation; hard data; Kriging algorithm; residual; realization; SEQUENTIAL SIMULATION; MODELS;
D O I
10.1007/s12182-010-0095-8
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
Unexpected noise in reservoir stochastic simulation realization may be too high to make the realization useful, especially when there is a lack of hard data. Through discussing the uncertainties, we present two ways to control the uncertainty ratio that is brought by the algorithm of stochastic simulation. By reasonably reducing the random value of the stochastic simulation result, the unexpected values introduced by the residual that associates with random series can be controlled. Another way when the data disperse unevenly is to control the stochastic simulation order by grouping the points that need to be simulated to make those points which can be simulated by more neighborhood hard data calculated first. Both methods do not go against the core stochastic simulation algorithm.
引用
收藏
页码:472 / 476
页数:5
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