Epidemics in networks of spatially correlated three-dimensional root-branching structures

被引:7
作者
Handford, T. P. [1 ]
Perez-Reche, F. J. [1 ]
Taraskin, S. N. [1 ]
Costa, L. da F. [2 ]
Miazaki, M. [2 ]
Neri, F. M. [3 ]
Gilligan, C. A. [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Cambridge, Dept Chem, St Catherines Coll, Cambridge CB2 1EW, England
[2] Univ Sao Paulo, Inst Fis Sao Carlos, Sao Carlos, SP, Brazil
[3] Univ Cambridge, Dept Plant Sci, Cambridge CB2 1EW, England
基金
巴西圣保罗研究基金会; 英国生物技术与生命科学研究理事会; 英国工程与自然科学研究理事会;
关键词
epidemic outbreaks; correlated percolation; root systems; heterogeneity; GENERAL EPIDEMIC; PERCOLATION; THRESHOLDS; PATHOGENS; INVASION; MODELS;
D O I
10.1098/rsif.2010.0296
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Using digitized images of the three-dimensional, branching structures for root systems of bean seedlings, together with analytical and numerical methods that map a common susceptible-infected- recovered ('SIR') epidemiological model onto the bond percolation problem, we show how the spatially correlated branching structures of plant roots affect transmission efficiencies, and hence the invasion criterion, for a soil-borne pathogen as it spreads through ensembles of morphologically complex hosts. We conclude that the inherent heterogeneities in transmissibilities arising from correlations in the degrees of overlap between neighbouring plants render a population of root systems less susceptible to epidemic invasion than a corresponding homogeneous system. Several components of morphological complexity are analysed that contribute to disorder and heterogeneities in the transmissibility of infection. Anisotropy in root shape is shown to increase resilience to epidemic invasion, while increasing the degree of branching enhances the spread of epidemics in the population of roots. Some extension of the methods for other epidemiological systems are discussed.
引用
收藏
页码:423 / 434
页数:12
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