The role of childhood BMI in predicting early adulthood dysglycemia: Tehran lipid and glucose study

Background and Aim: Increased adiposity is associated with insulin resistance and glycemic disturbances. We aimed to determine whether childhood overweight or obesity are independent factors in predicting adulthood dysglycemia (prediabetes or type 2 diabetes). Methods and Results: In this population-based cohort study, 1290 normoglycemic subjects aged 3 11 years were followed for incidence of dysglycemia. Cox-proportional hazard models were employed to evaluate the association of obesity and overweight with incidence of dysglycemia by adjustments for age, sex, parental risk factors and baseline individual risk factors. The participants, with a mean age of 7.7 +/- 2.5 years, were followed for a median of 14.9 years. During follow up, 158 subjects developed dysglycemia (18 type 2 diabetes, 140 prediabetes), contributing to a total cumulative incidence of 24.7%. The unadjusted HR for developing adult dysglycemia were 1.6 (95% CI; 1.0-2.4) and 1.7 (95% CI; 1.0-3.0) in overweight and obese children, respectively. Further adjustments for age, sex, parental risk factors and baseline individual risk factors changed the results in both overweight and obese children. Conclusion: These findings show that overweight or obesity in childhood have no independent role for developing adulthood dysglycemia. (C) 2019 The Italian Society of Diabetology, the Italian Society for the Study of Atherosclerosis, the Italian Society of Human Nutrition, and the Department of Clinical Medicine and Surgery, Federico II University. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.