Short-term exposure to ambient air pollution and atrial fibrillation hospitalization: A time-series study in Yancheng, China

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is an important cardiovascular disease that causes a great burden of disease. However, there is limited evidence of a link between air pollution exposure and AF. This study aimed to explore the shortterm association between air pollution and AF. We obtained daily hospitalization of AF in two major hospitals of Yancheng, China from May, 2015 to May, 2020. Generalized additive models with quasi-Poisson regression were used to assess the associations between six criteria air pollutants and AF hospitalization. We explored the lag patterns, and visualized the concentration-response relationships. The robustness of the association was tested by two-pollutant model, and we explored potential effect modification by age, sex and season. A total of 15,171 inpatients from two hospitals were collected in this study with an average daily count of eight patients. We observed consistent and significant associations between six air pollutants and AF on lag 0-4 days. A 10 ug/m3 increase in PM2.5 was associated with 2.81% (95%CI: 1.44%, 4.20%) changes in AF, and the effect estimate was 1.67% (95%CI: 0.77%, 2.59%) for PM10, 4.90% (95%CI: 1.69%, 8.22%) for NO2, 6.81% (95%CI: 0.46%, 13.57%) for SO2, 1.82% (95%CI: 0.60%, 3.06%) for O3; a 0.1 mg/m3 increase in CO was associated with 2.55% (95%CI: 0.91%, 4.21%) increments in AF. Associations of PM2.5 and PM10 were robust after adjusting for SO2, NO2, CO, and O3, but not vice versa. Female patients and those aged less 70 years had larger risk of AF associated with air pollution exposure. The concentration-response curves of the six pollutants were almost linear and increasing with no obvious thresholds. This time-series study in Yancheng demonstrated increased risk of AF and a delayed effect over lag 0-4 days. Our findings suggested need of prevention and protection against these environmental risk factors for AF in health departments.