Typical Pitfalls of Simulation Modeling - Lessons Learned from Armed Forces and Business

被引：11

作者：

Barth, Rolf

Meyer, Matthias

Spitzner, Jan

机构：

[1] University of the Bundeswehr, Munich

[2] Operations Research and Modeling and Simulation Division, Bundeswehr Transformation Centre, Ottobrunn

[3] Institute for Management Control and Accounting, Hamburg University of Technology, Schwarzenbergstr. 95

[4] C21 Consulting GmbH, Kirchgasse 2

来源：

JASSS-THE JOURNAL OF ARTIFICIAL SOCIETIES AND SOCIAL SIMULATION | 2012年 / 15卷 / 02期

关键词：

Logic of Failure; Management; Methodology; Military; Pitfalls; Simulation Models;

D O I：

10.18564/jasss.1935

中图分类号：

C [社会科学总论];

学科分类号：

03 ; 0303 ;

摘要：

This paper identifies possible pitfalls of simulation modeling and suggests ways to prevent them. First, we specify five typical pitfalls that are associated with the process of applying simulation models and characterize the "logic of failure" (Dorner 1996) behind the pitfalls. Then, we illustrate important aspects of these pitfalls using examples from applying simulation modeling to military and managerial decision making and present possible solutions to them. Finally, we discuss how our suggestions for avoiding them relate to current methodological discussions found in the social simulation community.

引用

页数：14