Prognostic role of multiparameter MRI and radiomics in progression of advanced unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma following combined transcatheter arterial chemoembolization and lenvatinib therapy

Background Current study aims to determine the prognostic value of Multiparameter MRI after combined Lenvatinib and TACE therapy in patients with advanced unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Methods A total of 61 HCC patients with pre-treatment Multiparameter MRI in Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center from January 2019 to March 2021 were recruited in the current study. All patients received combined Lenvatinib and TACE treatment. Potential clinical and imaging risk factors for disease progression were analyzed using Cox regression model. Each patient extracts signs from the following 7 sequences: T1WI, T1WI arterial phase, T1WI portal phase, T1WI delay phase, T2WI, DWI (b = 800), ADC.1782 quantitative 3D radiomic features were extracted for each sequence, A random forest algorithm is used to select the first 20 features by feature importance. 7 logit regression-based prediction model was built for seven sequences based on the selected features and fivefold cross validation was used to evaluate the performance of each model. Results CR, PR, SD were reported in 14 (23.0%), 35 (57.4%) and 7 (11.5%) patients, respectively. In multivariate analysis, tumor number (hazard ratio, HR = 4.64, 95% CI 1.03-20.88), and arterial phase intensity enhancement (HR = 0.24, 95% CI 0.09-0.64; P = 0.004) emerged as independent risk factors for disease progression. In addition to clinical factors, the radiomics signature enhanced the accuracy of the clinical model in predicting disease progression, with an AUC of 0.71, a sensitivity of 0.99%, and a specificity of 0.95. Conclusion Radiomic signatures derived from pretreatment MRIs could predict response to combined Lenvatinib and TACE therapy. Furthermore, it can increase the accuracy of a combined model for predicting disease progression. In order to improve clinical outcomes, clinicians may use this to select an optimal treatment strategy and develop a personalized monitoring protocol.