An Attribute Weight Estimation Using Particle Swarm Optimization and Machine Learning Approaches for Customer Churn Prediction

被引:1
作者
Kanwal, Samina [1 ]
Rashid, Junaid [2 ]
Kim, Jungeun [2 ]
Nisar, Muhammad Wasif [1 ]
Hussain, Amir [3 ]
Batool, Saba [1 ]
Kanwal, Rabia [1 ]
机构
[1] COMSATS Univ Islamabad, Dept Comp Sci, Wah Campus, Islamabad, Pakistan
[2] Kongju Natl Univ, Dept Comp Sci & Enigeering, Gongju, South Korea
[3] Edinburgh Napier Univ, Data Sci & Cyber Analyt Res Grp, Edinburgh EH1 4DY, Midlothian, Scotland
来源
4TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INNOVATIVE COMPUTING (IC)2 | 2021年
关键词
churn; Telecom; Particle Swarm Optimization; Machine Learning; MODEL;
D O I
10.1109/ICIC53490.2021.9693040
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
One of the most challenging problems in the telecommunications industry is predicting customer churn (CCP). Decision-makers and business experts stressed that acquiring new clients is more expensive than maintaining current ones. From current churn data, business analysts must identify the causes for client turnover and behavior trends. This study uses PSO for feature selection and the four most powerful machine learning techniques to predict churn customers, including Decision Tree and K-Nearest Neighbor, Gradient Boosted Tree, and Naive Bayes. An experiment is conducted using two performance measures accuracy and precision. The proposed methodology initially employs classification algorithms to categorize churn customer data, with the Gradient Boosted Tree, Decision Tree, k-NN, and Naive Bayes performing well in accuracy, achieving 93 percent, 90 percent, 89 percent, and 89 percent, respectively. The experimental findings showed that the Gradient Boosted suggested methodology outperformed by obtaining an overall accuracy of 93 percent and precision of 87 percent, which shows the effectiveness of the proposed method.
引用
收藏
页码:745 / 750
页数:6
相关论文
共 36 条
[1]  
Amin Adnan, 2019, New Knowledge in Information Systems and Technologies. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing (AISC 931), P483, DOI 10.1007/978-3-030-16184-2_46
[2]   Just-in-time Customer Churn Prediction: With and Without Data Transformation [J].
Amin, Adnan ;
Shah, Babar ;
Khattak, Asad Masood ;
Baker, Thar ;
Durani, Hamood Ur Rahman ;
Anwar, Sajid .
2018 IEEE CONGRESS ON EVOLUTIONARY COMPUTATION (CEC), 2018, :244-250
[3]   Customer churn prediction in the telecommunication sector using a rough set approach [J].
Amin, Adnan ;
Anwar, Sajid ;
Adnan, Awais ;
Nawaz, Muhammad ;
Alawfi, Khalid ;
Hussain, Amir ;
Huang, Kaizhu .
NEUROCOMPUTING, 2017, 237 :242-254
[4]   A Prudent Based Approach for Customer Churn Prediction [J].
Amin, Adnan ;
Rahim, Faisal ;
Ramzan, Muhammad ;
Anwar, Sajid .
BEYOND DATABASES, ARCHITECTURES AND STRUCTURES, BDAS 2015, 2015, 521 :320-332
[5]  
[Anonymous], 2002, SURVEY DIMENSION RED
[6]  
[Anonymous], About Us
[7]   A churn prediction model for prepaid customers in telecom using fuzzy classifiers [J].
Azeem, Muhammad ;
Usman, Muhammad ;
Fong, A. C. M. .
TELECOMMUNICATION SYSTEMS, 2017, 66 (04) :603-614
[8]  
Babu S., 2014, INT J ENG RES TECHNO, V3
[9]   Deep Convolutional Neural Networks for Customer Churn Prediction Analysis [J].
Chouiekh, Alae ;
Ibn El Haj, El Hassane .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF COGNITIVE INFORMATICS AND NATURAL INTELLIGENCE, 2020, 14 (01) :1-16
[10]   A decision tree-based attribute weighting filter for naive Bayes [J].
Hall, Mark .
KNOWLEDGE-BASED SYSTEMS, 2007, 20 (02) :120-126