Diagnostic model of low visibility events based on C4.5 algorithm

被引:5
作者
Li, Chao [2 ,3 ]
Shi, Yimin [1 ]
Gao, Ping [2 ,4 ]
Shen, Yang [2 ,3 ]
Ma, Chenchen [1 ,5 ]
Shi, Dawei [1 ,5 ]
机构
[1] Lianyungang Meteorol Bur, Lianyungang 222006, Peoples R China
[2] Jiangsu Meteorol Stn, Nanjing 210008, Peoples R China
[3] China Meteorol Adm, Key Lab Transportat Meteorol, Nanjing 210009, Peoples R China
[4] Jiangsu Meteorol Publ Serv Ctr, Nanjing 210008, Peoples R China
[5] China Meteorol Adm, Lab Transportat Meteorol, Nanjing 210009, Peoples R China
来源
OPEN PHYSICS | 2020年 / 18卷 / 01期
关键词
Low visibility event; Accuracy; C4.5; algorithm; Diagnostic model; TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS; WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC;
D O I
10.1515/phys-2020-0007
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
In this study the low visibility in Nanjing city is classified and predicted using observed data during 2014 to 2016 with machine-learning based decision tree algorithm (4.5). For this purpose, the model was trained with 3/4th of the data samples until the self-learning accuracy of the model reached 88.32%. The remaining 1/4th of the data samples were used to verify the model's prediction ability, with the test accuracy reaching 88.34% indicating a good classification diagnosis effect of the model. The results produced with model, generated through learning from the training sample, it is found that the relative humidity, PM10 and PM2.5 are important factors in diagnosing "whether low visibility events will occur in Nanjing": When relative humidity is favorable (i.e. <90%) and PM2.5 concentration is not high enough (i.e. <146), the probability of low visibility events may reduce; when relative humidity is relatively favorable (i.e. >= 90%) with a PM10 concentration >= 59, low visibility events are more likely to occur; when relative humidity is extremely favorable (i.e. >= 96%) with a low PM10 concentration (i.e. < 59), there is also a high probability that low visibility events will occur.
引用
收藏
页码:33 / 39
页数:7
相关论文
共 29 条
  • [1] Probabilistic Forecasts of Mesoscale Convective System Initiation Using the Random Forest Data Mining Technique
    Ahijevych, David
    Pinto, James O.
    Williams, John K.
    Steiner, Matthias
    [J]. WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2016, 31 (02) : 581 - 599
  • [2] [Anonymous], 2018, Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences, DOI DOI 10.21042/AMNS.2018.1.00004
  • [3] Effects of Rainfall on Vehicle Crashes in Six US States
    Black, Alan W.
    Villarini, Gabriele
    Mote, Thomas L.
    [J]. WEATHER CLIMATE AND SOCIETY, 2017, 9 (01) : 53 - 70
  • [4] Visibility trends in six megacities in China 1973-2007
    Chang, Di
    Song, Yu
    Liu, Bing
    [J]. ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2009, 94 (02) : 161 - 167
  • [5] Chen J., 2014, ADV METEOR SCI TECHN, V4, P44
  • [6] Dewasurendra M., 2018, Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences, V1, P1
  • [7] Fan YQ, 2003, PLATEAU METEOLOGY, V27
  • [8] A TIGHT NEIGHBORHOOD UNION CONDITION ON FRACTIONAL (g, f,n′,m)-CRITICAL DELETED GRAPHS
    Gao, Wei
    Wang, Weifan
    [J]. COLLOQUIUM MATHEMATICUM, 2017, 149 (02) : 291 - 298
  • [9] NEW ISOLATED TOUGHNESS CONDITION FOR FRACTIONAL (g, f, n) - CRITICAL GRAPH
    Gao, Wei
    Wang, Weifan
    [J]. COLLOQUIUM MATHEMATICUM, 2017, 147 (01) : 55 - 65
  • [10] A prediction scheme for the frequency of summer tropical cyclone landfalling over China based on data mining methods
    Geng, Huantong
    Shi, Dawei
    Zhang, Wei
    Huang, Chao
    [J]. METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS, 2016, 23 (04) : 587 - 593