Change-point detection of failure mechanism for electronic devices based on Arrhenius model

被引:16
作者
Li, Jialu [1 ]
Tian, Yubin [1 ]
Wang, Dianpeng [1 ]
机构
[1] Beijing Inst Technol, Sch Math & Stat, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Accelerated life testing; Arrhenius model; Change-point analysis; Failure mechanism; Information criterion; Weibull distribution;
D O I
10.1016/j.apm.2020.02.011
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
In this paper, we consider the abrupt change-point and continuous change-point failure mechanisms in the accelerated life tests of electronic devices and propose corresponding detection methods based on the Weibull distribution and the Arrhenius model. The new methods can handle the detection of failure mechanism change-point with censored data and small samples. Comprehensive simulation studies are conducted to test the performance of the proposed methods and investigate the influences of the change location, the parameters and the censored ratios. Results of the simulation studies show that the proposed methods perform well in terms of type I errors and powers, and the change of parameters has a stronger impact on the performance of the new methods compared to the change location and censored ratios. In the end, we provide two real-world examples. The new class H insulation example shows that the proposed methods can predict the reliability reasonably well by detecting the change point, and the metal oxide semiconductor transistor example shows that the new methods can greatly reduce the experimental time and provide accurate reliability predictions. (C) 2020 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:46 / 58
页数:13
相关论文
共 50 条
[31]   A new perspective on detecting performance decline: A change-point analysis based on Jensen-Shannon divergence [J].
Dongbo Tu ;
Yaling Li ;
Yan Cai .
Behavior Research Methods, 2023, 55 :963-980
[32]   Calculation of the ELISA's cut-off based on the change-point analysis method for detection of Trypanosoma cruzi infection in Bolivian dogs in the absence of controls [J].
Lardeux, Frederic ;
Torrico, Gino ;
Aliaga, Claudia .
MEMORIAS DO INSTITUTO OSWALDO CRUZ, 2016, 111 (08) :501-504
[33]   Bayesian change-point analysis in hydrometeorological time series.: Part 1.: The normal model revisited [J].
Perreault, L ;
Bernier, J ;
Bobée, B ;
Parent, E .
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY, 2000, 235 (3-4) :221-241
[34]   Change-point detection of long-duration extreme precipitation and the effect on hydrologic design: a case study of south Taiwan [J].
Hone-Jay Chu ;
Tsung-Yi Pan ;
Jun-Jih Liou .
Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 2012, 26 :1123-1130
[35]   Change-point detection of long-duration extreme precipitation and the effect on hydrologic design: a case study of south Taiwan [J].
Chu, Hone-Jay ;
Pan, Tsung-Yi ;
Liou, Jun-Jih .
STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT, 2012, 26 (08) :1123-1130
[36]   A failure mechanism based constitutive model for bulk metallic glass [J].
Rao Wei ;
Zhang Juan ;
Kang Guozheng .
MECHANICS OF MATERIALS, 2018, 125 :52-69
[37]   Using Principal Component Analysis (PCA) Combined with Multivariate Change-Point Analysis to Identify Brine Layers Based on the Geochemistry of the Core Sediment [J].
Su, Qiao ;
Yu, Hongjun ;
Xu, Xingyong ;
Chen, Bo ;
Yang, Lin ;
Fu, Tengfei ;
Liu, Wenquan ;
Chen, Guangquan .
WATER, 2023, 15 (10)
[38]   The Step-Down-Stress Accelerated Storage Testing Evaluation Methods of Small Sample Electronic Products Based on Arrhenius Model [J].
Zhou, Jie ;
Yao, Jun ;
Song, Yan ;
Hu, Honghua .
PROCEEDINGS OF 2014 10TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON RELIABILITY, MAINTAINABILITY AND SAFETY (ICRMS), VOLS I AND II, 2014, :908-912
[39]   Detection of multiple change points in a Weibull accelerated failure time model using sequential testing [J].
Gierz, Kristine ;
Park, Kayoung .
BIOMETRICAL JOURNAL, 2022, 64 (03) :617-634
[40]   Shear Strength Model of Concrete Beams Based on Compression Zone Failure Mechanism [J].
Choi, Kyoung-Kyu ;
Kim, Jong-Chan ;
Park, Hong-Gun .
ACI STRUCTURAL JOURNAL, 2016, 113 (05) :1095-1106