Proposed business rules to incorporate climate-induced changes in fisheries management

被引:10
作者
Link, J. S. [1 ]
Karp, M. A. [2 ]
Lynch, P. [3 ]
Morrison, W. E. [4 ]
Peterson, J. [3 ]
机构
[1] NOAA Fisheries, Off Assistant Administrator, 166 Water St, Woods Hole, MA 02543 USA
[2] NOAA Fisheries, Off Sci & Technol, ECS Fed LLC, 1315 East West Hwy, Silver Spring, MD 20910 USA
[3] NOAA Fisheries, Off Sci & Technol, 1315 East West Hwy, Silver Spring, MD 20910 USA
[4] NOAA Fisheries, Off Sustainable Fisheries, 1315 East West Hwy, Silver Spring, MD 20910 USA
关键词
business rules; climate change; distribution shifts; living marine resources; on-ramps; productivity; science to management process; COD GADUS-MORHUA; TIME-VARYING CATCHABILITY; STOCK ASSESSMENT; BERING-SEA; REGIME SHIFTS; LIFE-HISTORY; MARINE FISH; ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS; NORTH PACIFIC; RANGE SHIFTS;
D O I
10.1093/icesjms/fsab219
中图分类号
S9 [水产、渔业];
学科分类号
0908 ;
摘要
Changing oceanic conditions are having impacts on living marine resources (LMRs) and their management, often in ways beyond what we have ever seen before. This is largely manifested as changes in production or location of these LMRs. The challenge has been not only to disentangle the possible causes of these changes to LMRstocks, but then even if clear changes are detected, it has been unclear what we can actually do about them. Here, we propose a set of recommended actions or "business rules" to better address climate-induced changes to LMR production and location. These emphasize a series of diagnostics which can be used to demarcate significance of whether action is necessary, and then if action is deemed necessary, we propose a set of insertion points or "on-ramps" to address the nuances of locational or production changes at every step in the science to management process. These proposed "business rules" for dealing with climate-induced changes to fisheries can always be debated, can always be updated with new information, and can always be adjusted under a given set of circumstances. But, we also assert that it would be wise to start acting on them, as a proposed set of options, given the urgency and exigency of the situation.
引用
收藏
页码:3562 / 3580
页数:19
相关论文
共 208 条
[1]   Estimation of the parameters of fish stock dynamics from catch-at-age data and indices of abundance: can natural and fishing mortality be separated? [J].
Aanes, Sondre ;
Engen, Steinar ;
Saether, Bernt-Erik ;
Aanes, Ronny .
CANADIAN JOURNAL OF FISHERIES AND AQUATIC SCIENCES, 2007, 64 (08) :1130-1142
[2]  
Abram N., 2019, IPCC special report on the ocean and cryosphere in a changing climate
[3]   Review of State-Space Models for Fisheries Science [J].
Aeberhard, William H. ;
Flemming, Joanna Mills ;
Nielsen, Anders .
ANNUAL REVIEW OF STATISTICS AND ITS APPLICATION, VOL 5, 2018, 5 :215-235
[4]   Vulnerability of national economies to the impacts of climate change on fisheries [J].
Allison, Edward H. ;
Perry, Allison L. ;
Badjeck, Marie-Caroline ;
Adger, W. Neil ;
Brown, Katrina ;
Conway, Declan ;
Halls, Ashley S. ;
Pilling, Graham M. ;
Reynolds, John D. ;
Andrew, Neil L. ;
Dulvy, Nicholas K. .
FISH AND FISHERIES, 2009, 10 (02) :173-196
[5]  
[Anonymous], 1995, COD COND RESP FISH
[6]  
Bahri T., 2021, Adaptive management of fisheries in response to climate change
[7]  
Barange M, 2014, NAT CLIM CHANGE, V4, P211, DOI [10.1038/NCLIMATE2119, 10.1038/nclimate2119]
[8]  
Barros V, 2014, CLIMATE CHANGE 2014: IMPACTS, ADAPTATION, AND VULNERABILITY, PT A: GLOBAL AND SECTORAL ASPECTS, pIX
[9]   Distinguishing geographical range shifts from artefacts of detectability and sampling effort [J].
Bates, Amanda E. ;
Bird, Tomas J. ;
Stuart-Smith, Rick D. ;
Wernberg, Thomas ;
Sunday, Jennifer M. ;
Barrett, Neville S. ;
Edgar, Graham J. ;
Frusher, Stewart ;
Hobday, Alistair J. ;
Pecl, Gretta T. ;
Smale, Dan A. ;
McCarthy, Michael .
DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS, 2015, 21 (01) :13-22
[10]   Defining and observing stages of climate-mediated range shifts in marine systems [J].
Bates, Amanda E. ;
Pecl, Gretta T. ;
Frusher, Stewart ;
Hobday, Alistair J. ;
Wernberg, Thomas ;
Smale, Dan A. ;
Sunday, Jennifer M. ;
Hill, Nicole A. ;
Dulvy, Nicholas K. ;
Colwell, Robert K. ;
Holbrook, Neil J. ;
Fulton, Elizabeth A. ;
Slawinski, Dirk ;
Feng, Ming ;
Edgar, Graham J. ;
Radford, Ben T. ;
Thompson, Peter A. ;
Watson, Reg A. .
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS, 2014, 26 :27-38