Estimation of comfort of weather conditions and trends of their changes for the Kyiv region in the conditions of climate change

被引:3
|
作者
Boychenko, S. G. [1 ]
Zabarna, O. G. [2 ]
机构
[1] Natl Acad Sci Ukraine, Subbotin Inst Geophys, Kiev, Ukraine
[2] Cent European Univ, Budapest, Hungary
来源
关键词
climate change; equivalent-effective temperature; comfortable and uncomfortable weather conditions; trends and scenarios; MORTALITY; INDEX;
D O I
10.24028/gzh.0203-3100.v41i6.2019.190071
中图分类号
P3 [地球物理学]; P59 [地球化学];
学科分类号
0708 ; 070902 ;
摘要
Climate change, the increasing variability of weather conditions and more often manifestation of extreme weather phenomena in Ukraine negatively affect the comfort of life, health, working capacity and mortality of the population. Evaluation of the population's sensitivity towards the new climatic conditions and the establishment of tendencies in the distribution of comfortable and uncomfortable weather periods during the year were estimated based on the calculation of equivalent-effective temperatures (EET) according to the Missenard's formula by using observation data from meteostations in the Kyiv region. A certain shift on a scale was established from a subcomfortable weather conditions in this region towards a more comfortable one for the period 1971-2018. However, the situation is becoming more complicated due to the increase in frequency of extreme temperatures in warm season, especially in summer, and significant variability in cold season (thermal and cold waves). Analysis of the periodical observations for meteorological parameters (surface air temperature, air humidity and wind speed) from 9 meteostations for the period 2006-2018 has showen that in cold season, against the general tendency to warming, significant variability of weather conditions appeared with an increase in frequency of frosty periods in winter and early spring. In warm period, the situation in the region is ambiguous, so for gradations (6 divided by 12) and lower, there is a general tendency to decrease repeatability, and for gradations above (12 divided by 16) to increase repeatability, which is associated with the appearing of heat waves. A possible scenario of the repeatability occurrence of comfortable and uncomfortable weather situations is also proposed for cold and warm periods of the year in the Kyiv region by the middle of the 21st century in the face of further climate change. Thus, biometeorological (bioclimatic) indices are effective indicators of the thermal structure of the environment, which surrounds a person, especially in the face of climate change, and their estimations are necessary to use in different spheres - medicine, balneology, ecology, etc.
引用
收藏
页码:128 / 143
页数:16
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] ADJUSTING DRUG DOSAGES WITH CHANGES IN WEATHER CONDITIONS
    TRENKLE, H
    MUNCHENER MEDIZINISCHE WOCHENSCHRIFT, 1984, 126 (13): : A15 - A15
  • [42] Anthropogenic climate change contribution to wildfire-prone weather conditions in the Cerrado and Arc of deforestation
    Li, Sihan
    Sparrow, Sarah N.
    Otto, Friederike E. L.
    Rifai, Sami W.
    Oliveras, Imma
    Krikken, Folmer
    Anderson, Liana O.
    Malhi, Yadvinder
    Wallom, David
    ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2021, 16 (09)
  • [43] Preface: Trends and climate change in the Mediterranean region
    Lionello, P.
    Platon, S.
    Rodo, Xavier
    GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE, 2008, 63 (2-3) : 87 - 89
  • [44] Predicting crop yields under climate change conditions from monthly GCM weather projections
    Reddy, VR
    Pachepsky, YA
    ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE, 2000, 15 (01) : 79 - 86
  • [45] CLIMATE CHANGE, SOLAR-CYCLES, AND SEASONAL WEATHER TRENDS
    NEWMAN, JE
    AGRICULTURAL ENGINEERING, 1979, 60 (01): : 10 - 13
  • [46] Trends in extreme weather events induced by global climate change
    Yamaguchi K.
    IEEJ Transactions on Power and Energy, 2020, 140 (08) : 634 - 637
  • [47] Trends in extreme weather events induced by global climate change
    Yamaguchi, Kazuki
    ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING IN JAPAN, 2021, 214 (02)
  • [48] Observed Changes in Climate Conditions and Weather-Related Risks in Fruit and Grape Production in Serbia
    Vujadinovic Mandic, Mirjam
    Vukovic Vimic, Ana
    Rankovic-Vasic, Zorica
    Durovic, Dejan
    Cosic, Marija
    Sotonica, Dunja
    Nikolic, Dragan
    Durdevic, Vladimir
    ATMOSPHERE, 2022, 13 (06)
  • [49] MODELLING FLOW CHANGES IN POTENTIAL CLIMATE CHANGE CONDITIONS - AN EXAMPLE OF THE KACZAWA BASIN
    Kuchar, Leszek
    Iwanski, Slawomir
    Jelonek, Leszek
    Szalinska, Wiwiana
    STUDIA GEOTECHNICA ET MECHANICA, 2012, 34 (02) : 51 - 61
  • [50] Climate Change and Corresponding Changes of Wave Conditions at the German Baltic Sea Coast
    Dreier, Norman
    Schlamkow, Christian
    Froehle, Peter
    Salecker, Doerte
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE 35TH IAHR WORLD CONGRESS, VOLS III AND IV, 2013,