Pandemic disease;
COVID-19;
mathematical modelling;
vaccination;
equilibrium points;
Jacobian matrix;
reproductive number;
control theory strategy;
real data;
validation;
TRANSMISSION;
D O I:
10.1051/mmnp/2022015
中图分类号:
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号:
07 ;
0710 ;
09 ;
摘要:
Many researchers began doing studies about pandemic COVID-19 which began to spread from Wuhan, China in 2019 to all around the world and so far, numerous researches have been done around the world to control this contagious disease. In this paper, we proposed a MSIlIhR-V mathematical model to study the spreading of pandemic COVID-19. This paper is aimed to study the vaccination effect in the control of the disease propagation rate. Another goal of this paper is to find the maximum number of susceptible people, minimum number of infected people, and the best value for number of vaccination people. The Jacobian matrix was obtained in the virus absenteeism equilibrium point for the proposed dynamical system. The spectral radius method was applied to find the analytical formula for the reproductive number. Reproductive number is one of the most benefit and important tools to study of epidemic model's stability and instability. In the following, by adding a controller to the model and also using the optimal control strategy, model performance was improved. To validate of the proposed models with controller and without controller we use the real data of COVID-19 from 4 January, 2021 up to 14 June, 2021 in Iran. Maple and MATLAB software's will be used for programming. We will use Maple software for analytical parts and MATLAB software for numerical and simulation parts.
机构:
Islamic Azad Univ, Fac Sci, Dept Math, Tabriz, IranIslamic Azad Univ, Fac Sci, Dept Math, Tabriz, Iran
Chaharborj, Shahriar Seddighi
Chaharborj, Sarkhosh Seddighi
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Carleton Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Ottawa, ON K1S 5B6, CanadaIslamic Azad Univ, Fac Sci, Dept Math, Tabriz, Iran
Chaharborj, Sarkhosh Seddighi
Asl, Jalal Hassanzadeh
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Islamic Azad Univ, Fac Sci, Dept Math, Tabriz, IranIslamic Azad Univ, Fac Sci, Dept Math, Tabriz, Iran
Asl, Jalal Hassanzadeh
Phang, Pei See
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机构:
Univ Putra Malaysia, Fac Sci, Dept Math, Upm 43400, Malaysia
Brilliant Student Care, 838,Jurong West St 81, Singapore 640838, SingaporeIslamic Azad Univ, Fac Sci, Dept Math, Tabriz, Iran
机构:
LARGESS Laboratory, Chouaïb Doukkali University, El JadidaLARGESS Laboratory, Chouaïb Doukkali University, El Jadida
Lalaoui Ben Cherif S.M.
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Balatif O.
Kebiri O.
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机构:
Department of Stochastics and its Applications, BTU Cottbus-Senftenberg, Konrad-Wachsmann-Allee 1, Brandenburg, CottbusLARGESS Laboratory, Chouaïb Doukkali University, El Jadida
机构:
Natl Lab Sci Comp LNCC MCTI, Petropolis, RJ, Brazil
Univ Estado Rio De Janeiro, Polytech Inst, Nova Friburgo, BrazilNatl Lab Sci Comp LNCC MCTI, Petropolis, RJ, Brazil
机构:
Hassan II Univ, Fac Sci Ben MSik, Dept Math & Comp Sci, Lab Anal Modeling & Simulat, Casablanca, MoroccoHassan II Univ, Fac Sci Ben MSik, Dept Math & Comp Sci, Lab Anal Modeling & Simulat, Casablanca, Morocco
Kouidere, Abdelfatah
Khajji, Bouchaib
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Hassan II Univ, Fac Sci Ben MSik, Dept Math & Comp Sci, Lab Anal Modeling & Simulat, Casablanca, MoroccoHassan II Univ, Fac Sci Ben MSik, Dept Math & Comp Sci, Lab Anal Modeling & Simulat, Casablanca, Morocco
Khajji, Bouchaib
El Bhih, Amine
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Hassan II Univ, Fac Sci Ben MSik, Dept Math & Comp Sci, Lab Anal Modeling & Simulat, Casablanca, MoroccoHassan II Univ, Fac Sci Ben MSik, Dept Math & Comp Sci, Lab Anal Modeling & Simulat, Casablanca, Morocco
El Bhih, Amine
Balatif, Omar
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机构:
Chouaib Doukkali Univ, Fac Sci El Jadida, Dept Math, Lab Dynam Syst,Math Engn Team INMA, El Jadida, MoroccoHassan II Univ, Fac Sci Ben MSik, Dept Math & Comp Sci, Lab Anal Modeling & Simulat, Casablanca, Morocco
Balatif, Omar
Rachik, Mostafa
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Hassan II Univ, Fac Sci Ben MSik, Dept Math & Comp Sci, Lab Anal Modeling & Simulat, Casablanca, MoroccoHassan II Univ, Fac Sci Ben MSik, Dept Math & Comp Sci, Lab Anal Modeling & Simulat, Casablanca, Morocco