Model transparency and interpretability: survey and application to the insurance industry

被引:6
作者
Delcaillau, Dimitri [1 ]
Ly, Antoine [2 ]
Papp, Alize [3 ]
Vermet, Franck [4 ]
机构
[1] Milliman, Predict Analyt, P&C, Paris, France
[2] SCOR, Data Analyt Solut, Paris, France
[3] SCOR, Data Analyt Solut, Charlotte, NC USA
[4] Univ Brest, Lab Math Bretagne Atlantique, EURIA, Brest, France
关键词
Interpretability; Machine learning; Insurance; SHAP; LIME;
D O I
10.1007/s13385-022-00328-y
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
The use of models, even if efficient, must be accompanied by an understanding at all levels of the process that transforms data (upstream and downstream). Thus, needs increase to define the relationships between individual data and the choice that an algorithm could make based on its analysis (e.g. the recommendation of one product or one promotional offer, or an insurance rate representative of the risk). Model users must ensure that models do not discriminate and that it is also possible to explain their results. This paper introduces the importance of model interpretation and tackles the notion of model transparency. Within an insurance context, it specifically illustrates how some tools can be used to enforce the control of actuarial models that can nowadays leverage on machine learning. On a simple example of loss frequency estimation in car insurance, we show the interest of some interpretability methods to adapt explanation to the target audience.
引用
收藏
页码:443 / 484
页数:42
相关论文
共 34 条
[1]  
Aas K, 2019, ARXIV
[2]   Peeking Inside the Black-Box: A Survey on Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) [J].
Adadi, Amina ;
Berrada, Mohammed .
IEEE ACCESS, 2018, 6 :52138-52160
[3]  
Alvarez-Melis D, 2018, P 2018 ICML WORKSHOP
[4]   Survey and critique of techniques for extracting rules from trained artificial neural networks [J].
Andrews, R ;
Diederich, J ;
Tickle, AB .
KNOWLEDGE-BASED SYSTEMS, 1995, 8 (06) :373-389
[5]  
Apley D. W., 2016, ARXIV
[6]  
Biecek P., 2018, ARXIV
[7]   Random forests [J].
Breiman, L .
MACHINE LEARNING, 2001, 45 (01) :5-32
[8]  
Breiman L., 1996, BORN AGAIN TREES
[9]   Regression Trees Identify Relevant Interactions: Can This Improve the Predictive Performance of Risk Adjustment? [J].
Buchner, Florian ;
Wasem, Juergen ;
Schillo, Sonja .
HEALTH ECONOMICS, 2017, 26 (01) :74-85
[10]   Intelligible Models for HealthCare: Predicting Pneumonia Risk and Hospital 30-day Readmission [J].
Caruana, Rich ;
Lou, Yin ;
Gehrke, Johannes ;
Koch, Paul ;
Sturm, Marc ;
Elhadad, Noemie .
KDD'15: PROCEEDINGS OF THE 21ST ACM SIGKDD INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON KNOWLEDGE DISCOVERY AND DATA MINING, 2015, :1721-1730