A method for agent-based models validation

被引:64
|
作者
Guerini, Mattia [1 ,2 ]
Moneta, Alessio [2 ]
机构
[1] OFCE, Sci Po, Paris, France
[2] Scuoa Super St Anna, Pisa, Italy
来源
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS & CONTROL | 2017年 / 82卷
关键词
Models validation; Agent-based models; Causality; Structural vector autoregressions; POLICIES; DEMAND; PRIORS;
D O I
10.1016/j.jedc.2017.06.001
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper proposes a new method to empirically validate simulation models that generate artificial time series data comparable with real-world data. The approach is based on comparing structures of vector autoregression models which are estimated from both artificial and real-world data by means of causal search algorithms. This relatively simple procedure is able to tackle both the problem of confronting theoretical simulation models with the data and the problem of comparing different models in terms of their empirical reliability. Moreover the paper provides an application of the validation procedure to the agent-based macroeconomic model proposed by Dosi et al. (2015). (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:125 / 141
页数:17
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