Deep belief network-based support vector regression method for traffic flow forecasting

被引:45
作者
Xu, Haibo [1 ,2 ]
Jiang, Chengshun [2 ]
机构
[1] South China Univ Technol, Sch Automat Sci & Engn, Guangzhou 510640, Peoples R China
[2] Yangtze Normal Univ, Coll Big Data & Intelligent Engn, Chongqing, Peoples R China
关键词
Machine learning; Deep belief network-support vector regression; Traffic flow prediction; PREDICTION;
D O I
10.1007/s00521-019-04339-x
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
Instability is a common problem in deep belief network-back propagation forecasting model, and the trend of traffic data will affect the forecasting results of the model. Therefore, this paper proposes a short-term traffic flow forecasting method based on deep belief network-support vector regression. Support vector regression classifier SVR is used at the top of the model. Data processing is from bottom to top. Firstly, at the bottom of the model, the input traffic flow data are processed differently; then, the DBN model is used to learn the traffic flow characteristics. Finally, SVR is used to predict the traffic flow at the top of the model. The average absolute error of the prediction is 9.57%, and the average relative error is 5.91%. The relationship between the predicted value and the actual traffic flow data is found through simulation experiments. The predicted value of the model proposed in this paper is in good agreement with the measured value, and the prediction accuracy is high. The model can effectively predict short-term traffic flow. Finally, compared with the traditional DBN prediction model and other common prediction models, the proposed prediction model has higher prediction accuracy.
引用
收藏
页码:2027 / 2036
页数:10
相关论文
共 26 条
[21]   DYNAMIC PREDICTION OF TRAFFIC VOLUME THROUGH KALMAN FILTERING THEORY [J].
OKUTANI, I ;
STEPHANEDES, YJ .
TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART B-METHODOLOGICAL, 1984, 18 (01) :1-11
[22]  
[石鑫 Shi Xin], 2016, [电力系统保护与控制, Power System Protection and Control], V44, P71
[23]   Optimized and meta-optimized neural networks for short-term traffic flow prediction: A genetic approach [J].
Vlahogianni, EI ;
Karlaftis, MG ;
Golias, JC .
TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART C-EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES, 2005, 13 (03) :211-234
[24]  
Xu Jian-rui, 2010, Journal of Computer Applications, V30, P1117, DOI 10.3724/SP.J.1087.2010.01117
[25]  
Zhang Hui-zhe, 2008, Computer Integrated Manufacturing Systems, V14, P690
[26]   Short-term freeway traffic flow prediction: Bayesian combined neural network approach [J].
Zheng, WZ ;
Lee, DH ;
Shi, QX .
JOURNAL OF TRANSPORTATION ENGINEERING, 2006, 132 (02) :114-121