Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Years of Life Lost, Years Lived With Disability, and Disability-Adjusted Life Years for 29 Cancer Groups From 2010 to 2019 A Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

被引:1187
作者
Kocarnik, Jonathan M. [1 ]
Compton, Kelly [1 ]
Dean, Frances E. [1 ]
Fu, Weijia [1 ]
Gaw, Brian L. [1 ]
Harvey, James D. [1 ]
Henrikson, Hannah Jacqueline [2 ,3 ]
Lu, Dan [1 ]
Pennini, Alyssa [1 ]
Xu, Rixing [1 ]
Ababneh, Emad [4 ]
Abbasi-Kangevari, Mohsen [5 ]
Abbastabar, Hedayat [6 ]
Abd-Elsalam, Sherief M. [7 ]
Abdoli, Amir [8 ]
Abedi, Aidin [9 ]
Abidi, Hassan [10 ]
Abolhassani, Hassan [11 ,12 ]
Adedeji, Isaac Akinkunmi [13 ]
Adnani, Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah [14 ,15 ]
Advani, Shailesh M. [16 ,17 ]
Afzal, Muhammad Sohail [18 ]
Aghaali, Mohammad [19 ]
Ahinkorah, Bright Opoku [20 ]
Ahmad, Sajjad [21 ]
Ahmad, Tauseef [22 ]
Ahmadi, Ali [23 ,24 ]
Ahmadi, Sepideh [25 ]
Rashid, Tarik Ahmed [26 ]
Salih, Yusra Ahmed [27 ,28 ]
Akalu, Gizachew Taddesse [29 ,30 ]
Aklilu, Addis [31 ]
Akram, Tayyaba [32 ]
Akunna, Chisom Joyqueenet [33 ,34 ]
Al Hamad, Hanadi [35 ,36 ]
Alahdab, Fares [37 ]
Al-Aly, Ziyad [38 ,39 ]
Ali, Saqib [40 ]
Alimohamadi, Yousef [41 ,42 ]
Alipour, Vahid [43 ,44 ]
Aljunid, Syed Mohamed [45 ,46 ]
Alkhayyat, Motasem [47 ]
Almasi-Hashiani, Amir [48 ]
Almasri, Nihad A. [49 ]
Al-Maweri, Sadeq Ali Ali [50 ,51 ]
Almustanyir, Sami [52 ,53 ]
Alonso, Nivaldo [54 ]
Alvis-Guzman, Nelson [55 ,56 ]
Amu, Hubert [57 ]
Anbesu, Etsay Woldu [58 ]
机构
[1] Univ Washington, Inst Hlth Metr & Evaluat, Seattle, WA 98195 USA
[2] Boston Univ, Dept Global Hlth, Boston, MA 02215 USA
[3] Brigham & Womens Hosp, Dept Med, 75 Francis St, Boston, MA 02115 USA
[4] Cleveland Clin, Pathol & Lab Med Inst, Cleveland, OH 44106 USA
[5] Shahid Beheshti Univ Med Sci, Social Determinants Hlth Res Ctr, Tehran, Iran
[6] Univ Tehran Med Sci, Adv Diagnost & Intervent Radiol Res Ctr, Tehran, Iran
[7] Tanta Univ, Trop Med Dept, Tanta, Egypt
[8] Jahrom Univ Med Sci, Zoonoses Res Ctr, Jahrom, Iran
[9] Univ Southern Calif, Dept Orthopaed Surg, Los Angeles, CA 90007 USA
[10] Univ Yasuj, Lab Technol Sci Dept, Yasuj, Iran
[11] Karolinska Univ Hosp, Dept Lab Med, Huddinge, Sweden
[12] Univ Tehran Med Sci, Res Ctr Immunodeficiencies, Tehran, Iran
[13] Olabisi Onabanjo Univ, Dept Sociol, Ago Iwoye, Nigeria
[14] Karya Husada Inst Hlth Sci, Dept Midwifery, Kediri, Indonesia
[15] Auckland Univ Technol, Dept Midwifery, Auckland, New Zealand
[16] Terasaki Inst Biomed Innovat, Los Angeles, CA USA
[17] Georgetown Univ, Sch Med, Washington, DC USA
[18] Univ Management & Technol, Dept Life Sci, Lahore, Pakistan
[19] Qom Univ Med Sci, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, Qom, Iran
[20] Univ Technol Sydney, Australian Ctr Publ & Populat Hlth Res, Sydney, NSW, Australia
[21] Fdn Univ Islamabad, Fdn Univ Med Coll, Islamabad, Pakistan
[22] Southeast Univ, Dept Epidemiol & Hlth Stat, Nanjing, Peoples R China
[23] Shahrekord Univ Med Sci, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, Shahrekord, Iran
[24] Shahid Beheshti Univ Med Sci, Dept Epidemiol, Tehran, Iran
[25] Shahid Beheshti Univ Med Sci, Sch Adv Technol Med, Tehran, Iran
[26] Univ Kurdistan Hewler, Dept Comp Sci & Engn, Erbil, Iraq
[27] Sulaimani Polytech Univ, Database Technol Dept, Sulaymaniyah, Iraq
[28] Sulaimani Polytech Univ, Coll Informat, Sulaymaniyah, Iraq
[29] St Pauls Hosp Millennium Med Coll, Microbiol Immunol & Parasitol Dept, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
[30] Addis Ababa Univ, Microbial Cellular & Mol Biol, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
[31] Arba Minch Univ, Dept Med Lab Sci, Arba Minch, Ethiopia
[32] Univ Sci Malaysia, Sch Math Sci, George Town, Malaysia
[33] Intercountry Ctr Oral Hlth Africa, Dept Publ Hlth, Jos, Nigeria
[34] Fed Minist Hlth, Dept Publ Hlth, Garki, Nigeria
[35] Hamad Med Corp, Geriatr & Long Term Care Dept, Doha, Qatar
[36] Hamad Med Corp, Rumailah Hosp, Doha, Qatar
[37] Mayo Clin Fdn Med Educ & Res, Mayo Evidence Based Practice Ctr, Rochester, MN USA
[38] Washington Univ, John T Milliken Dept Internal Med, St Louis, MO 63110 USA
[39] Dept Vet Affairs, Clin Epidemiol Ctr, St Louis, MO USA
[40] Sultan Qaboos Univ, Dept Informat Syst, Muscat, Oman
[41] Iran Univ Med Sci, Pars Hosp, Tehran, Iran
[42] Univ Tehran Med Sci, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, Tehran, Iran
[43] Iran Univ Med Sci, Hlth Management & Econ Res Ctr, Tehran, Iran
[44] Iran Univ Med Sci, Dept Hlth Econ, Tehran, Iran
[45] Kuwait Univ, Dept Hlth Policy & Management, Kuwait, Kuwait
[46] Natl Univ Malaysia, Int Ctr Casemix & Clin Coding, Bandar Tun Razak, Malaysia
[47] Cleveland Clin, Dept Internal Med, Cleveland, OH 44106 USA
[48] Arak Univ Med Sci, Dept Epidemiol, Arak, Iran
[49] Univ Jordan, Physiotherapy Dept, Amman, Jordan
[50] Qatar Univ, Coll Dent Med, Doha, Qatar
基金
英国医学研究理事会; 比尔及梅琳达.盖茨基金会; 欧洲研究理事会; 美国国家卫生研究院;
关键词
HEALTH-CARE; COVID-19; SURVEILLANCE; CHALLENGES; PROGRESS; SUPPORT; AFRICA; TRENDS; IMPACT;
D O I
10.1001/jamaoncol.2021.6987
中图分类号
R73 [肿瘤学];
学科分类号
100214 ;
摘要
IMPORTANCE The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019 (GBD 2019) provided systematic estimates of incidence, morbidity, and mortality to inform local and international efforts toward reducing cancer burden. OBJECTIVE To estimate cancer burden and trends globally for 204 countries and territories and by Sociodemographic Index (SDI) quintiles from 2010 to 2019. EVIDENCE REVIEW The GBD 2019 estimation methods were used to describe cancer incidence, mortality, years lived with disability, years of life lost, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in 2019 and over the past decade. Estimates are also provided by quintiles of the SDI, a composite measure of educational attainment, income per capita, and total fertility rate for those younger than 25 years. Estimates include 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). FINDINGS In 2019, there were an estimated 23.6 million (95% UI, 22.2-24.9 million) new cancer cases (17.2 million when excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) and 10.0 million (95% UI, 9.36-10.6 million) cancer deaths globally, with an estimated 250 million (235-264 million) DALYs due to cancer. Since 2010, these represented a 26.3%(95% UI, 20.3%-32.3%) increase in new cases, a 20.9%(95% UI, 14.2%-27.6%) increase in deaths, and a 16.0% (95% UI, 9.3%-22.8%) increase in DALYs. Among 22 groups of diseases and injuries in the GBD 2019 study, cancer was second only to cardiovascular diseases for the number of deaths, years of life lost, and DALYs globally in 2019. Cancer burden differed across SDI quintiles. The proportion of years lived with disability that contributed to DALYs increased with SDI, ranging from 1.4%(1.1%-1.8%) in the low SDI quintile to 5.7%(4.2%-7.1%) in the high SDI quintile. While the high SDI quintile had the highest number of new cases in 2019, the middle SDI quintile had the highest number of cancer deaths and YDALYs. From 2010 to 2019, the largest percentage increase in the numbers of cases and deaths occurred in the low and low-middle SDI quintiles. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE The results of this systematic analysis suggest that the global burden of cancer is substantial and growing, with burden differing by SDI. These results provide comprehensive and comparable estimates that can potentially inform efforts toward equitable cancer control around the world.
引用
收藏
页码:420 / 444
页数:25
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