A prognostic model for temporal courses that combines temporal abstraction and case-based reasoning

被引:18
作者
Schmidt, R [1 ]
Gierl, L [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Rostock, Inst Med Informat & Biometrie, D-18055 Rostock, Germany
关键词
kidney; influenza; forecast; prognosis; artificial intelligence; case-based reasoning;
D O I
10.1016/j.ijmedinf.2004.03.007
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
Since clinical management of patients and clinical research are essentially time-oriented endeavours, reasoning about time has become a hot topic in medical informatics. Here we present a method for prognosis of temporal courses, which combines temporal abstractions with case-based reasoning. It is useful for application domains where neither well-known standards, nor known periodicity, nor a complete domain theory exist. We have used our method in two prognostic applications. The first one deals with prognosis of the kidney function for intensive care patients. The idea is to elicit impairments on time, especially to warn against threatening kidney failures. Our second application deals with a completely different domain, namely geographical medicine. Its intention is to compute early warnings against approaching infectious diseases, which are characterised by irregular cyclic occurrences. So far, we have applied our program on influenza and bronchitis. In this paper, we focus on influenza forecast and show first experimental results. (C) 2004 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:307 / 315
页数:9
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