Shifts in global bat diversity suggest a possible role of climate change in the emergence of SARS-CoV-1 and SARS-CoV-2

被引:90
作者
Beyer, Robert M. [1 ,2 ]
Manica, Andrea [1 ]
Mora, Camilo [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Cambridge, Dept Zool, Downing St, Cambridge CB2 3EJ, England
[2] Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, Telegrafenberg A 31, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany
[3] Univ Hawaii Manoa, Dept Geog & Environm, 2424 Maile Way, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA
基金
欧洲研究理事会; 欧盟地平线“2020”;
关键词
Coronavirus; Covid-19; Zoonoses; Species distribution modelling; Vegetation modelling; Habitat shifts; RESPIRATORY SYNDROME CORONAVIRUS; LAND-COVER; TERRESTRIAL; VEGETATION; PATTERNS; DISEASE; VIRUS; RANGE;
D O I
10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145413
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Bats are the likely zoonotic origin of several coronaviruses (CoVs) that infect humans, including SARS-CoV-1 and SARS-CoV-2, both ofwhich have caused large-scale epidemics. The number of CoVs present in an area is strongly correlatedwith local bat species richness, which in turn is affected by climatic conditions that drive the geographical distributions of species. Herewe showthat the southern Chinese Yunnan province and neighbouring regions in Myanmar and Laos form a global hotspot of climate change-driven increase in bat richness. This region coincides with the likely spatial origin of bat-borne ancestors of SARS-CoV-1 and SARS-CoV-2. Accounting for an estimated increase in the order of 100 bat-borne CoVs across the region, climate change may have played a key role in the evolution or transmission of the two SARS CoVs. (C) 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
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页数:5
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