Global Banks and Systemic Debt Crises

被引:24
作者
Morelli, Juan M. [1 ]
Ottonello, Pablo [2 ,3 ]
Perez, Diego J. [3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Fed Reserve Board, MA Div, Washington, DC 20006 USA
[2] Univ Michigan, Dept Econ, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
[3] NBER, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
[4] NYU, Dept Econ, New York, NY 10003 USA
关键词
Financial intermediaries; international lending; external debt crises; sovereign default; sudden stops; heterogeneous-agent models; BUSINESS CYCLES; FINANCIAL CRISES; MONETARY-POLICY; DEFAULT RISK; SOVEREIGN; TRANSMISSION; CONTAGION; MARKETS; INCOME; MODEL;
D O I
10.3982/ECTA17433
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We study the role of global financial intermediaries in international lending. We construct a model of the world economy, in which heterogeneous borrowers issue risky securities purchased by financial intermediaries. Aggregate shocks transmit internationally through financial intermediaries' net worth. The strength of this transmission is governed by the degree of frictions intermediaries face in financing their risky investments. We provide direct empirical evidence on this mechanism showing that around Lehman Brothers' bankruptcy, emerging-market bonds held by more distressed global banks experienced larger price contractions. A quantitative analysis of the model shows that global financial intermediaries play a relevant role in driving borrowing-cost and consumption fluctuations in emerging-market economies, during both debt crises and regular business cycles. The portfolio of financial intermediaries and the distribution of bond holdings in the world economy are key to determine aggregate dynamics.
引用
收藏
页码:749 / 798
页数:50
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