Stochastic Dividend Discount Model: Risk and Return

被引:0
作者
D'Amico, G. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ G dAnnunzio, Dipartimento Farm, Vai Vestini 31, I-66013 Chieti, Italy
关键词
semi-Markov process; reward process; risk; SEMI-MARKOV PROCESSES; CREDIT RISK; MIGRATION PROCESS; HITTING TIMES; STOCK-MARKET; EXPECTATIONS; BEHAVIOR;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
One of the most widely used method to assess the company's stock price consists in computing the present value of all future dividends. Our approach is to present a general discrete time dividend valuation model when the dividend growth rate is a general continuous variable. Assuming that the dividend growth rate follows a discrete time semi-Markov chain with measurable phase space, we furnish sufficient conditions that guarantee finiteness of prices and risks and new equations that describe the first and second order price dividend ratios. Approximation methods to solve the equations are provided and some new results for semi-Markov reward processes with Borel state space are established. The paper generalizes previous contributions dealing with pricing firms on the basis of fundamentals.
引用
收藏
页码:349 / 376
页数:28
相关论文
共 50 条
[41]   THE CONGLOMERATE DISCOUNT: A NEW EXPLANATION BASED ON CREDIT RISK [J].
Ammann, Manuel ;
Verhofen, Michael .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL AND APPLIED FINANCE, 2006, 9 (08) :1201-1214
[42]   DISCOUNT RATES AND RISK ASSESSMENT IN MINERAL PROJECT EVALUATIONS [J].
SMITH, LD .
CIM BULLETIN, 1995, 88 (989) :34-43
[43]   Optimal financing and dividend control in the dual model [J].
Dai, Hongshuai ;
Liu, Zaiming .
MATHEMATICAL AND COMPUTER MODELLING, 2011, 53 (9-10) :1921-1928
[44]   Clustering stochastic point process model for flood risk analysis [J].
Xu, ZX ;
Li, JY ;
Ito, K .
STOCHASTIC HYDROLOGY AND HYDRAULICS, 1998, 12 (01) :53-64
[45]   Estimating stochastic discount factor models with hidden regimes: Applications to commodity pricing [J].
Giampietro, Marta ;
Guidolin, Massimo ;
Pedio, Manuela .
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 2018, 265 (02) :685-702
[46]   Computation of the implied discount rate and volatility for an overdefined system using stochastic optimization [J].
Hin, Lin-Yee ;
Dokuchaev, Nikolai .
IMA JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT MATHEMATICS, 2016, 27 (04) :505-527
[47]   RISK AND RETURN ANALYSIS: EVIDENCE FROM EMERGING MARKETS [J].
Pirtea, Marilen ;
Botoc, Claudiu ;
Jurcut, Cecilia .
TRANSFORMATIONS IN BUSINESS & ECONOMICS, 2014, 13 (2B) :637-647
[48]   Return expectations and risk aversion heterogeneity in household portfolios [J].
Bucciol, Alessandro ;
Miniaci, Raffaele ;
Pastorello, Sergio .
JOURNAL OF EMPIRICAL FINANCE, 2017, 40 :201-219
[49]   Dividend and Corporate Taxation in an Agency Model of the Firm [J].
Chetty, Raj ;
Saez, Emmanuel .
AMERICAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL-ECONOMIC POLICY, 2010, 2 (03) :1-31
[50]   GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE, RISK AND RETURN: A FRAMEWORK FOR A NEW KEYNESIAN MODEL IN THE IRANIAN ECONOMY [J].
Kaviani, Meysam ;
Saeedi, Parviz ;
Didehkhani, Hosein ;
Fakhrehosseini, Seyed Fakhreddin .
ROMANIAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC FORECASTING, 2019, 22 (04) :5-24