Application hybrid grey dynamic model to forecasting compensatory control

被引:12
作者
Li, Guo-Dong
Yamaguchi, Daisuke
Nagai, Masatake [1 ]
机构
[1] Tokyo Metropolitan Univ, Dept Syst Design Engn, Hino, Tokyo, Japan
[2] Okayama Univ, Grad Sch Nat Sci & Technol, Okayama, Japan
[3] Kanagawa Univ, Dept Engn, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan
关键词
manufacturing systems; accuracy; dynamics; modelling; forecasting;
D O I
10.1108/02644400710817943
中图分类号
TP39 [计算机的应用];
学科分类号
081203 ; 0835 ;
摘要
Purpose - This paper aims to increase the manufacturing accuracy and quality of product by improving the prediction accuracy of forecasting compensatory control (FCC). Design/methodology/approach - The dynamic analysis model, which combines grey dynamic model with time series autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model is proposed. In addition, the Markov chain from stochastic process theory is applied to improve the prediction accuracy. Findings - The proposed model is more accurate than ARIMA model and grey dynamic model. Originality/value - The paper provides a viewpoint on FCC by using the combined methodology, which takes advantage of high predictable power of grey dynamic model and at the same time takes advantage of the prediction powers of ARIMA model and Markov chain.
引用
收藏
页码:699 / 711
页数:13
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