Integral estimation of xenobiotics' toxicity with regard to their metabolism in human organism

Toxicity and severe adverse effects are the primary cause of drug-candidate failures at the late stages of preclinical and clinical trials. Since most xenobiotics undergo biotransformations, their interaction with human organism reveals the effects produced by parent compounds and all metabolites. To increase the chances of successful drug development, estimation of the entire toxicity for drug substance and its metabolites is necessary for filtering out the potentially toxic compounds. We proposed the computational approach to the integral evaluation of xenobiotics' toxicity based on the structural formula of the drug-like compound. In the framework of this study, the consensus QSAR model was developed based on the analysis of over 3000 compounds with information about their rat acute toxicity for intravenous route of administration. Four different numerical methods, estimating the integral toxicity, were proposed, and their comparative performance was studied using the external evaluation set consisting of 37 structures of drugs and 200 their metabolites. It was shown that, on the average, the best correspondence between the predicted and published data is obtained using the method that takes into account the estimated characteristics for both the parent compound and its most toxic metabolite.