Fertility and Childlessness in the United States

被引：70

作者：

Baudin, Thomas ^{[1
]}

de la Croix, David ^{[2
,3
]}

Gobbi, Paula E. ^{[2
,4
]}

机构：

[1] Catholic Univ Louvain, Bur A146, Ctr Rech Demog & Soc, B-1348 Louvain La Neuve, Belgium

[2] Catholic Univ Louvain, IRES, B-1348 Louvain La Neuve, Belgium

[3] CORE, Louvain, Belgium

[4] Natl Fund Sci Res, Louvain, Belgium

来源：

AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW | 2015年 / 105卷 / 06期

关键词：

EDUCATION; MARRIAGE; MODELS;

D O I：

10.1257/aer.20120926

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

We develop a theory of fertility, distinguishing its intensive margin from its extensive margin. The deep parameters are identified using facts from the 1990 US Census: (i) fertility of mothers decreases with education; (ii) childlessness exhibits a U-shaped relationship with education; (iii) the relationship between marriage rates and education is hump-shaped for women and increasing for men. We estimate that 2.5 percent of women were childless because of poverty and 8.1 percent because of high opportunity cost of childrearing. Over time, historical trends in total factor productivity and in education led to a U-shaped response in childlessness rates while fertility of mothers decreased. (JEL I20, J13, J16, N31, N32)

引用

页码：1852 / 1882

页数：31

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