RISK, RELIABILITY AND SAFETY: INNOVATING THEORY AND PRACTICE
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2017年
关键词:
REPAIRABLE SYSTEMS;
PREDICTION;
MACHINE;
MODEL;
D O I:
暂无
中图分类号:
T [工业技术];
学科分类号:
08 ;
摘要:
Generalized Renewal Process (GRP) is a probabilistic model for repairable systems that can represent any of the five possible post-repair states of an equipment: as good as new, as bad as old, better than old but worse than new, better than new and worse than old. GRP is often coupled with the Weibull distribution to model the equipment failure process and theWeibull-based GRP is able to accommodate three types of hazard rate functions: monotonically increasing, monotonically decreasing and constant. This work proposes a novel approach of GRP based on the q-Weibull distribution, which has the Weibull model as a particular case. The q-Weibull distribution has the capability of modeling two additional hazard rate behaviors, namely bathtubshaped and unimodal curves. Such flexibility is related to a pair of parameters that govern the shape of the distribution, instead of a single parameter as in the Weibull model. In this way, the developed q-Weibull-based GRP is a more general framework that can model a variety of practical situations in the context of reliability and maintenance. The maximum likelihood problem associated with the q-Weibull-based GRP using Kijima's virtual age type I for the time-terminated case is developed. The probabilistic and derivative-free heuristic Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) is used to obtain the q-Weibull-based GRP parameters' estimates. The proposed methodology is applied to an example involving equipment failure data from literature and the obtained results indicate that the q-Weibull-based GRP is a promising tool to model repairable systems.
机构:
Univ Tecn Federico Santa Maria, Dept Ind Engn, Av Espana 1680, Valparaiso, ChileUniv Tecn Federico Santa Maria, Dept Ind Engn, Av Espana 1680, Valparaiso, Chile
Viveros Gunckel, Pablo
Kristjanpoller, Fredy
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机构:
Univ Tecn Federico Santa Maria, Dept Ind Engn, Av Espana 1680, Valparaiso, ChileUniv Tecn Federico Santa Maria, Dept Ind Engn, Av Espana 1680, Valparaiso, Chile
Kristjanpoller, Fredy
Tapia Penaloza, Rene
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h-index: 0
机构:
RelPro SpA, Santiago, ChileUniv Tecn Federico Santa Maria, Dept Ind Engn, Av Espana 1680, Valparaiso, Chile
机构:
Istanbul Ticaret Univ, Informat Technol Applicat & Res Ctr, TR-34445 Istanbul, TurkiyeIstanbul Ticaret Univ, Informat Technol Applicat & Res Ctr, TR-34445 Istanbul, Turkiye
Colak, Andac Batur
Sindhu, Tabassum Naz
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h-index: 0
机构:
Quaid i Azam Univ, Dept Stat, Islamabad 44000, PakistanIstanbul Ticaret Univ, Informat Technol Applicat & Res Ctr, TR-34445 Istanbul, Turkiye
Sindhu, Tabassum Naz
Lone, Showkat Ahmad
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h-index: 0
机构:
Saudi Elect Univ, Coll Sci & Theoret Studies, Dept Basic Sci, Riyadh 11673, Saudi ArabiaIstanbul Ticaret Univ, Informat Technol Applicat & Res Ctr, TR-34445 Istanbul, Turkiye
Lone, Showkat Ahmad
Shafiq, Anum
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机构:
Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Sch Math & Stat, Nanjing 210044, Peoples R China
Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Jiangsu Int Joint Lab Syst Modeling & Data Anal, Nanjing 210044, Peoples R ChinaIstanbul Ticaret Univ, Informat Technol Applicat & Res Ctr, TR-34445 Istanbul, Turkiye
Shafiq, Anum
Abushal, Tahani A.
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机构:
Umm Al Qura Univ, Fac Appl Sci, Dept Math Sci, Mecca 24382, Makkah, Saudi ArabiaIstanbul Ticaret Univ, Informat Technol Applicat & Res Ctr, TR-34445 Istanbul, Turkiye
机构:
Jordan Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Math & Stat, POB 3030, Irbid 22110, JordanJordan Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Math & Stat, POB 3030, Irbid 22110, Jordan