Literature review of pedestrian fatality risk as a function of car impact speed

被引:183
作者
Rosen, Erik [1 ]
Stigson, Helena [2 ,3 ]
Sander, Ulrich [1 ]
机构
[1] Autoliv Dev AB, Autoliv Res, S-44783 Vargarda, Sweden
[2] Karolinska Inst, Dept Publ Hlth Sci, Stockholm, Sweden
[3] Folksam Res, Stockholm, Sweden
关键词
Pedestrian; Fatality risk; Impact speed; Real-world data; INJURY SEVERITY SCORE; PROBABILITIES; MORTALITY; SAFETY;
D O I
10.1016/j.aap.2010.04.003
中图分类号
TB18 [人体工程学];
学科分类号
1201 ;
摘要
The aim of this review was to evaluate all studies of pedestrian fatality risk as a function of car impact speed. Relevant papers were primarily investigated with respect to data sampling procedures and methods for statistical analysis. It was uniformly reported that fatality risk increased monotonically with car impact speed. However, the absolute risk estimates varied considerably. Without exceptions, papers written before 2000 were based on direct analyses of data that had a large bias towards severe and fatal injuries. The consequence was to overestimate the fatality risks. We also found more recent research based on less biased data or adjusted for bias. While still showing a steep increase of risk with impact speed, these later papers provided substantially lower risk estimates than had been previously reported. (C) 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:25 / 33
页数:9
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