The malicious host: a minimax solution of the Monty Hall problem

被引:3
作者
Schuller, Jan C. [1 ]
机构
[1] Org Res & Treatment Canc EORTC, B-1200 Brussels, Belgium
关键词
Monty Hall problem; conditional probability; minimax; simulation; incompleteness;
D O I
10.1080/02664763.2011.580337
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
The classic solution of the Monty Hall problem tacitly assumes that, after the candidate made his/her first choice, the host always allows the candidate to switch doors after he/she showed to the candidate a losing door, not initially chosen by the candidate. In view of actual TV shows, it seems a more credible assumption that the host will or will not allow switching. Under this assumption, possible strategies for the candidate are discussed, with respect to a minimax solution of the problem. In conclusion, the classic solution does not necessarily provide a good guidance for a candidate on a game show. It is discussed that the popularity of the problem is due to its incompleteness.
引用
收藏
页码:215 / 221
页数:7
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