Modelling impacts of new power generation facilities and renewable technologies on greenhouse gas emissions in Saskatchewan, Canada

Saskatchewan's growing energy demands and decommission of existing coal-fired facilities require new electric generating facilities to be installed. In this situation, the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions will be significantly affected since the generation of electricity is a major contributor to the total GHG emissions in Saskatchewan. Based on the Saskatchewan MARKAL model, this study aims to evaluate the impacts of the province's new electric generation plan and measures on GHG emissions from the period 1988 to 2032. One reference case and three scenarios were analyzed. The reference case modeled the energy system based on existing electric power generating capacities. The first scenario reflected variations in new gas-fired electric generating power facilities. The second scenario reflected the impacts of wind power, and the expansion of hydropower, while the third scenario reflects the impacts of introducing nuclear technology on GHG emissions. The model results are used to provide recommendations to reduce GHG emissions from the generation of electricity.